Match Info

AUSTRALIA: AFL Women

Date: 2 October 2024, Wednesday

Location: Whitten Oval (Melbourne)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Fox Footy, Seven Network
United-kingdom	TNT Sports 1


	Essendon Bombers		Sydney Swans

	1	2
	1.24	3.56
	1.25	3.72
	1.25	3.75
	1.26	3.72
	1.24	3.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.25 ↓ (1.38)	3.66 ↑ (2.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 79.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-11)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Essendon Bombers
74.6%

Sydney Swans
25.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

67.3%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.4%

36.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Essendon Bombers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Essendon Bombers's performance.

Sydney Swans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sydney Swans might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Essendon Bombers than the current prediction. (-11.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Essendon Bombers that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sydney Swans than the current prediction. (+11.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sydney Swans could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Essendon Bombers - Sydney Swans Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 46:35

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (1 - 1)
2nd Quarter (19 - 1)
3rd Quarter (7 - 7)
4th Quarter (0 - 15)

Preview

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Essendon is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Essendon won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 48:44

Including matches at home between the teams Essendon won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 48:44

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Essendon Bombers Women
AFL Women
27.09.24	Essendon Bombers - Melbourne Demons	72:7 ✺
21.09.24	Adelaide Crows - Essendon Bombers	62:29 ✺
15.09.24	Essendon Bombers - St Kilda Saints	15:23 ✺
06.09.24	West Coast Eagles - Essendon Bombers	25:41 ✺
31.08.24	Essendon Bombers - Fremantle Dockers	21:64 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLLWL
- Sydney Swans Women
AFL Women
27.09.24	Western Bulldogs - Sydney Swans	39:32 ✺
22.09.24	Sydney Swans - Greater Western Sydney Giants	43:40 ✺
13.09.24	Sydney Swans - Richmond Tigers	22:68 ✺
08.09.24	St Kilda Saints - Sydney Swans	42:26 ✺
30.08.24	Sydney Swans - Collingwood Magpies	50:35 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

AFL Women
15.10.22	Essendon Bombers - Sydney Swans	48:44

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Essendon Bombers Women
AFL Women
25.10.26	Hawthorn Hawks - Essendon Bombers	✺
- Sydney Swans Women
AFL Women
24.10.26	Sydney Swans - West Coast Eagles	✺

Essendon Bombers - Sydney Swans: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide