Match Info

Date: 25 October 2026, Sunday


	Hawthorn Hawks		Essendon Bombers

	1	X	2
	1.03		12
	1.07	100.00	7.00
	1.06		7.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.05 ↓ (1.07)	33.33 ↓ (100)	8.8 ↑ (7)

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-32)

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hawthorn Hawks
86.9%

Draw
2.7%

Essendon Bombers
10.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

85.9%

0.9%

13.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hawthorn Hawks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Essendon Bombers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

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Preview

Hawthorn has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Essendon has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Essendon could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The betting markets point to Hawthorn as the clear and undisputed favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Hawthorn has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 113:128 (averaging 37.7:42.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Hawthorn against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 30:49 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		%%	Pts
10	Hawthorn Hawks W	10	5	0	5	461:454	101.54	20
17	Essendon Bombers W	10	1	0	9	328:590	55.59	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hawthorn Hawks Women
AFL Women
17.10.26	Greater Western Sydney Giants - Hawthorn Hawks	55:54 ✺
10.10.26	Hawthorn Hawks - Brisbane Lions	65:40 ✺
01.10.26	Carlton Blues - Hawthorn Hawks	36:24 ✺
24.09.26	Geelong Cats - Hawthorn Hawks	82:46 ✺
18.09.26	Hawthorn Hawks - North Melbourne Kangaroos	32:25 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 LWLLW
- Essendon Bombers Women
AFL Women
18.10.26	Essendon Bombers - North Melbourne Kangaroos	33:85 ✺
09.10.26	Western Bulldogs - Essendon Bombers	65:22 ✺
02.10.26	Greater Western Sydney Giants - Essendon Bombers	35:43 ✺
24.09.26	Essendon Bombers - West Coast Eagles	35:45 ✺
19.09.26	Essendon Bombers - Gold Coast Suns	10:51 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

AFL Women
25.10.25	Essendon Bombers - Hawthorn Hawks	26:56
02.09.23	Hawthorn Hawks - Essendon Bombers	30:49
27.08.22	Essendon Bombers - Hawthorn Hawks	53:27

Hawthorn Hawks - Essendon Bombers: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide