Match Info

VFL - Round 17

Date: 18 July 2025, Friday

Location: Windy Hill (Essendon)


	Essendon Bombers 2		Greater Western Sydney 2

	1	2
	3.26	1.28
	3.75	1.25
	3.39	1.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.47 ↑ (3.33)	1.29 ↓ (1.31)

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-21)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Essendon Bombers 2
27.1%

Greater Western Sydney 2
72.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

28.3%

71.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.6%

78.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Essendon Bombers 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Greater Western Sydney 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Essendon Bombers 2 than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Essendon Bombers 2 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Greater Western Sydney 2 than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Greater Western Sydney 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Essendon Bombers 2 - Greater Western Sydney 2 Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. GWS 2 will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (25 - 28)
2nd Quarter (25 - 26)
3rd Quarter (20 - 20)
4th Quarter (10 - 27)

Preview

Essendon 2 is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

GWS 2's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Essendon 2 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, GWS 2 is seen as the favorite.

We predict that GWS 2 will win today's game, with odds of 1.31.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Essendon 2 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 218:108. (average 109:54).

Including home match between the teams, Essendon 2 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 119:39.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Essendon Bombers 2
VFL
12.07.25	Box Hill Hawks - Essendon Bombers 2	134:65 ✺
04.07.25	Essendon Bombers 2 - Gold Coast Suns 2	86:100 ✺
21.06.25	Frankston - Essendon Bombers 2	66:60 ✺
14.06.25	Casey Scorpions - Essendon Bombers 2	112:83 ✺
08.06.25	Essendon Bombers 2 - Carlton Blues 2	54:72 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Greater Western Sydney 2
VFL
04.07.25	Werribee - Greater Western Sydney 2	59:78 ✺
14.06.25	Brisbane Lions 2 - Greater Western Sydney 2	159:74 ✺
06.06.25	Greater Western Sydney 2 - Northern Bullants	150:47 ✺
30.05.25	Greater Western Sydney 2 - Richmond Tigers 2	80:92 ✺
24.05.25	Greater Western Sydney 2 - Port Melbourne	84:110 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

VFL
25.03.23	Essendon Bombers 2 - Greater Western Sydney 2	119:39
05.08.22	Greater Western Sydney 2 - Essendon Bombers 2	69:99

Essendon Bombers 2 - Greater Western Sydney 2: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide