Match Info

AUSTRALIA: AFL Women

Date: 1 November 2024, Friday

Location: GMHBA Stadium (Geelong)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Fox Footy
United-kingdom	TNT Sports 3


	Geelong Cats		Adelaide Crows

	1	2
	2.84	1.36
	2.93	1.37
	3	1.36
	3.09	1.37
	2.84	1.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.94 ↑ (2.46)	1.36 ↓ (1.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 72.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-16)

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Geelong Cats
31.7%

Adelaide Crows
68.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38.8%

61.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.1%

52.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Geelong Cats has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Geelong Cats's form might have worsened.

Adelaide Crows has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Adelaide Crows's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Geelong Cats than the current prediction. (+15.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Geelong Cats, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adelaide Crows than the current prediction. (-15.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Adelaide Crows, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Geelong Cats - Adelaide Crows Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Adelaide will win (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 28:44

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (7 - 4)
2nd Quarter (18 - 7)
3rd Quarter (0 - 15)
4th Quarter (3 - 6)

Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Adelaide will have a poor advantage in this game.

Our prediction for today's Adelaide to win the game is with odds 1.4.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Geelong won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 110:218 (average 27.5:54.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Geelong won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 38:49

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Geelong Cats Women
AFL Women
26.10.24	West Coast Eagles - Geelong Cats	23:56 ✺
19.10.24	Geelong Cats - Brisbane Lions	47:37 ✺
12.10.24	Richmond Tigers - Geelong Cats	46:39 ✺
06.10.24	Sydney Swans - Geelong Cats	41:44 ✺
01.10.24	Geelong Cats - Fremantle Dockers	27:45 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WWLWL
- Adelaide Crows Women
AFL Women
25.10.24	Adelaide Crows - North Melbourne Kangaroos	33:41 ✺
20.10.24	Collingwood Magpies - Adelaide Crows	13:56 ✺
13.10.24	Greater Western Sydney Giants - Adelaide Crows	28:92 ✺
09.10.24	Adelaide Crows - Melbourne Demons	14:16 ✺
04.10.24	Adelaide Crows - St Kilda Saints	26:22 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

AFL Women
21.10.22	Adelaide Crows - Geelong Cats	30:28
23.02.20	Geelong Cats - Adelaide Crows	38:49
23.03.19	Adelaide Crows - Geelong Cats	73:7
16.02.19	Adelaide Crows - Geelong Cats	66:37

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