Match Info

AUSTRALIA: AFL Women

Date: 25 October 2024, Friday

Location: Norwood Oval (Norwood)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Fox Footy, Seven Network


	Adelaide Crows		North Melbourne Kangaroos

	1	2
	3.26	1.28
	3.36	1.29
	3.4	1.3
	3.38	1.31
	3.26	1.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.33 ↑ (3.05)	1.29 ↓ (1.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 71.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-11)

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Adelaide Crows
27.9%

North Melbourne Kangaroos
72.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

30.4%

69.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.1%

72.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Adelaide Crows has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

North Melbourne Kangaroos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adelaide Crows than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for North Melbourne Kangaroos than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Adelaide Crows - North Melbourne Kangaroos Predictions

Users Predictions: North Melbourne Kangaroos will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 31:42

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (9 - 13)
2nd Quarter (8 - 14)
3rd Quarter (3 - 13)
4th Quarter (13 - 1)

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Adelaide won 3.

Recent matches Adelaide is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

North Melbourne in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

In this match North Melbourne is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Adelaide won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 224:202 (average 37.3:33.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Adelaide won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 108:78 (average 36:26).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Adelaide Crows Women
AFL Women
20.10.24	Collingwood Magpies - Adelaide Crows	13:56 ✺
13.10.24	Greater Western Sydney Giants - Adelaide Crows	28:92 ✺
09.10.24	Adelaide Crows - Melbourne Demons	14:16 ✺
04.10.24	Adelaide Crows - St Kilda Saints	26:22 ✺
29.09.24	Brisbane Lions - Adelaide Crows	35:33 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WWLWL
- North Melbourne Kangaroos Women
AFL Women
20.10.24	Essendon Bombers - North Melbourne Kangaroos	7:58 ✺
12.10.24	North Melbourne Kangaroos - Sydney Swans	87:27 ✺
04.10.24	North Melbourne Kangaroos - Western Bulldogs	59:4 ✺
28.09.24	North Melbourne Kangaroos - Richmond Tigers	27:15 ✺
25.09.24	Carlton Blues - North Melbourne Kangaroos	10:79 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

AFL Women
25.11.23	North Melbourne Kangaroos - Adelaide Crows	32:31
29.10.23	Adelaide Crows - North Melbourne Kangaroos	41:38
09.09.22	Adelaide Crows - North Melbourne Kangaroos	30:16
15.01.22	Adelaide Crows - North Melbourne Kangaroos	37:24
06.03.20	North Melbourne Kangaroos - Adelaide Crows	63:21
03.03.19	North Melbourne Kangaroos - Adelaide Crows	29:64

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