Match Info

VFL - Play Offs - Final

Date: 20 September 2026, Sunday


	Geelong Cats 2		Box Hill Hawks

	1	X	2
	1.35	75.00	3.00
	1.36		3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 (1.36)	37.5 ↓ (100)	3.05 ↑ (2.95)

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-18)

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Geelong Cats 2
67.5%

Draw
2.4%

Box Hill Hawks
30%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

67.8%

0.9%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Geelong Cats 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Box Hill Hawks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Geelong Cats 2 - Box Hill Hawks Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Box Hill will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (13 - 19)
2nd Quarter (9 - 22)
3rd Quarter (3 - 15)
4th Quarter (14 - 6)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Geelong Cats 2 won 1.

Box Hill is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Box Hill could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Bookmakers give the edge to Geelong Cats 2 for this game.

In the last 14 head-to-head meetings, Geelong Cats 2 has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 12 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1032:1444 (averaging 73.7:103.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Geelong Cats 2 against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with 576:681 goals (averaging 82.3:97.3 per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Geelong Cats 2
VFL
12.09.26	Geelong Cats 2 - Port Melbourne	96:49 ✺
15.08.26	North Melbourne Kangaroos 2 - Geelong Cats 2	79:113 ✺
31.07.26	Geelong Cats 2 - Collingwood Magpies 2	84:112 ✺
03.07.26	Frankston - Geelong Cats 2	54:106 ✺
06.06.26	Sandringham - Geelong Cats 2	36:94 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WWLWW
- Box Hill Hawks
VFL
11.09.26	Box Hill Hawks - Essendon Bombers 2	95:88 ✺
29.08.26	Werribee - Box Hill Hawks	96:109 ✺
16.08.26	Box Hill Hawks - Casey Scorpions	112:55 ✺
01.08.26	Box Hill Hawks - North Melbourne Kangaroos 2	103:72 ✺
19.07.26	Richmond Tigers 2 - Box Hill Hawks	57:69 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

VFL
27.03.26	Geelong Cats 2 - Box Hill Hawks	123:76
20.04.25	Geelong Cats 2 - Box Hill Hawks	73:119
07.07.24	Box Hill Hawks - Geelong Cats 2	72:71
29.03.24	Geelong Cats 2 - Box Hill Hawks	77:111
13.08.22	Box Hill Hawks - Geelong Cats 2	97:54
06.07.19	Box Hill Hawks - Geelong Cats 2	85:75
09.09.18	Geelong Cats 2 - Box Hill Hawks	61:90

Geelong Cats 2 - Box Hill Hawks: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide