Match Info

AFL - Round 7

Date: 26 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Manuka Oval (Canberra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	AFL
Germany	Magenta Sport, Sportdigital1+
United-kingdom	TNT Sports Extra


	Greater Western Sydney Giants		North Melbourne Kangaroos

	1	2
	1.44	2.8
	1.4	2.65
			Watch
	1.47	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↑ (1.35)	2.7 ↓ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 184.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-13)

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Greater Western Sydney Giants
65.3%

North Melbourne Kangaroos
34.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

70.7%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.6%

36.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Greater Western Sydney Giants has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Greater Western Sydney Giants's form might have worsened.

North Melbourne Kangaroos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting North Melbourne Kangaroos's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Greater Western Sydney Giants than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for North Melbourne Kangaroos than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Greater Western Sydney Giants - North Melbourne Kangaroos Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. GWS will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). North Melbourne will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 99:86

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (20 - 27)
02:09, Aleer L. (G),
03:51, Curtis P. (G),
05:53, Duursma Z. (Behind),
09:57, Aleer L. (Behind),
11:24, Wardlaw G. (G),
15:51, Gothard P. (Behind),
17:51, Larkey N. (G),
20:49, Dovaston L. (Behind),
21:37, Spargo C. (G),
23:27, Powell T. (Behind),
25:00, Hogan J. (G),
28:23, Hogan J. (G),
2nd Quarter (29 - 22)
01:06, Larkey N. (G),
05:06, Gothard P. (G),
06:48, Cadman A. (G),
10:19, Stringer J. (G),
12:09, Angwin R. (Behind),
12:33, (Behind Rushed),
15:05, Dovaston L. (G),
16:07, Thomas H. (Behind),
19:27, Trembath C. (Behind),
20+45', Cadman A. (Behind),
23:52, (Behind Rushed),
25:08, Daniels B. (G),
26:58, Simpkin J. (Behind),
28:03, Thomas H. (Behind),
29:38, Larkey N. (G),
30:57, (Behind Rushed),
3rd Quarter (21 - 15)
00:29, (Behind Rushed),
03:02, Thomas H. (G),
05:11, Greene T. (G),
08:30, Simpkin J. (G),
11:25, Stringer J. (Behind),
12:47, O'Sullivan F. (Behind),
14:17, Cadman A. (G),
17:08, Cadman A. (Behind),
19:14, Callaghan F. (Behind),
21:25, Larkey N. (Behind),
25:28, Larkey N. (G),
4th Quarter (35 - 34)
00:54, Curtis P. (G),
02:17, Greene T. (G),
03:41, (Behind Rushed),
04:30, Aleer L. (Behind),
05:25, Stringer J. (G),
06:50, Simpkin J. (Behind),
08:38, Ash L. (Behind),
09:35, (Behind Rushed),
10:42, Stringer J. (G),
13:31, (Behind Rushed),
13:31, Parker L. (G),
14:43, O'Halloran X. (G),
16:39, O'Sullivan F. (G),
18:18, Cadman A. (G),
21:29, Darling J. (G),
23:18, Sheezel H. (G),
29:35, Daniels B. (Behind),
30:55, (Behind Rushed),
31:40, Bedford T. (Behind),

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, GWS won 4.

Recent form of GWS has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

North Melbourne has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

GWS may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

GWS is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that North Melbourne will win today's game, with odds of 2.72.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, GWS won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 1340:1338. (average 89.3:89.2).

Including home matches between the teams, GWS won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 628:676. (average 89.7:96.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Greater Western Sydney Giants
AFL
17.04.26	Sydney Swans - Greater Western Sydney Giants	107:66 ✺
12.04.26	Greater Western Sydney Giants - Richmond Tigers	131:75 ✺
27.03.26	Collingwood Magpies - Greater Western Sydney Giants	87:54 ✺
21.03.26	Greater Western Sydney Giants - St Kilda Saints	74:78 ✺
13.03.26	Western Bulldogs - Greater Western Sydney Giants	134:53 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LWLLL
- North Melbourne Kangaroos
AFL
18.04.26	North Melbourne Kangaroos - Richmond Tigers	130:55 ✺
10.04.26	North Melbourne Kangaroos - Brisbane Lions	66:92 ✺
03.04.26	North Melbourne Kangaroos - Carlton Blues	96:86 ✺
28.03.26	Essendon Bombers - North Melbourne Kangaroos	69:81 ✺
22.03.26	West Coast Eagles - North Melbourne Kangaroos	111:94 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

AFL
09.08.25	Greater Western Sydney Giants - North Melbourne Kangaroos	133:79
16.03.24	Greater Western Sydney Giants - North Melbourne Kangaroos	121:82
11.06.23	North Melbourne Kangaroos - Greater Western Sydney Giants	75:103
12.06.22	North Melbourne Kangaroos - Greater Western Sydney Giants	53:102
13.06.21	North Melbourne Kangaroos - Greater Western Sydney Giants	94:94
13.06.20	Greater Western Sydney Giants - North Melbourne Kangaroos	60:80
16.06.19	North Melbourne Kangaroos - Greater Western Sydney Giants	68:91

Greater Western Sydney Giants - North Melbourne Kangaroos: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide