Match Info
AFL - Round 3Date: 28 March 2026, SaturdayLocation: Marvel Stadium (Melbourne)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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Australia | AFL, Fox Footy |
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Essendon Bombers |
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North Melbourne Kangaroos |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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2.9 |
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1.42 |
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2.45 |
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1.45 |
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Watch |
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2.17 |
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1.62 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.51 ↑ (2.25) |
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1.5 ↓ (1.65) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 182.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-16)
- The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Essendon Bombers 37.4% | North Melbourne Kangaroos 62.6% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Essendon Bombers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)North Melbourne Kangaroos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)Essendon Bombers - North Melbourne Kangaroos Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 83:99 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Quarter (17 - 20)
- 00:55, Stephens D. (Behind),
- 01:58, Blakiston L. (G),
- 06:07, Powell T. (Behind),
- 07:23, Zurhaar C. (G),
- 08:39, Caldwell J. (Behind),
- 09:46, Perkins A. (Behind),
- 12:03, Langford K. (Behind),
- 14:13, Duursma Z. (G),
- 16:39, Caddy N. (Behind),
- 19:05, El-Hawli S. (Behind),
- 20:35, Duursma Z. (G),
- 27:53, Kako I. (G),
- 2nd Quarter (15 - 24)
- 02:12, Caddy N. (G),
- 04:35, Larkey N. (G),
- 06:57, Duursma Z. (G),
- 10:01, Xerri T. (G),
- 13:05, Caddy N. (Behind),
- 13:38, (Behind Rushed),
- 16:28, Wright P. (G),
- 23:49, Langford K. (Behind),
- 27:21, Dovaston L. (G),
- 3rd Quarter (10 - 34)
- 01:12, Perkins A. (Behind),
- 02:28, Larkey N. (G),
- 04:57, (Behind Rushed),
- 08:04, Trembath C. (G),
- 09:50, Wright P. (G),
- 12:45, Dovaston L. (Behind),
- 14:30, Blakiston L. (Behind),
- 15:35, May A. (Behind),
- 17:01, Curtis P. (G),
- 18:12, Merrett Z. (Behind),
- 19:13, Trembath C. (G),
- 23:24, Zurhaar C. (Behind),
- 24:44, (Behind Rushed),
- 25:53, Blamires T. (G),
- 4th Quarter (27 - 3)
- 00:24, Trembath C. (Behind),
- 02:19, Gresham J. (Behind),
- 04:02, Larkey N. (Behind),
- 06:26, (Behind Rushed),
- 08:03, Caldwell J. (G),
- 09:58, Caldwell J. (Behind),
- 17:56, Davies-Uniacke L. (Behind),
- 19:02, El-Hawli S. (G),
- 20:48, Gresham J. (G),
- 24:20, Merrett Z. (G),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Essendon won 5.Essendon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. North Melbourne is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Essendon won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 1695:1446. (average 84.8:72.3).Including home matches between the teams, Essendon won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1153:991. (average 88.7:76.2).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| AFL | | | 01.05.25 | Essendon Bombers - North Melbourne Kangaroos | 65:62 | | 18.05.24 | Essendon Bombers - North Melbourne Kangaroos | 106:66 | | 11.08.23 | North Melbourne Kangaroos - Essendon Bombers | 77:86 | | 04.06.23 | Essendon Bombers - North Melbourne Kangaroos | 105:99 | | 31.07.22 | Essendon Bombers - North Melbourne Kangaroos | 114:66 | | 17.07.21 | North Melbourne Kangaroos - Essendon Bombers | 74:92 | | 23.05.21 | Essendon Bombers - North Melbourne Kangaroos | 141:69 |
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