Match Info

AFL Women - Round 8

Date: 3 October 2025, Friday

Location: Henson Park (Marrickville)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	AFL, Fox Footy
United-kingdom	Discovery+, TNT Sports 1


	Greater Western Sydney Giants		St Kilda Saints

	1	2
	3.85	1.27
	3.25	1.28
	3.25	1.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.45 ↑ (2.88)	1.28 ↓ (1.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 84.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-11)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Greater Western Sydney Giants
27%

St Kilda Saints
73%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

32.6%

67.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.9%

70.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Greater Western Sydney Giants has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Greater Western Sydney Giants's form might have worsened.

St Kilda Saints has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting St Kilda Saints's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Greater Western Sydney Giants than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for St Kilda Saints than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Greater Western Sydney Giants - St Kilda Saints Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. St Kilda will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. GWS (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 37:48

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (0 - 8)
2nd Quarter (8 - 1)
3rd Quarter (0 - 19)
4th Quarter (8 - 2)

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, St Kilda is seen as the favorite.

We predict that St Kilda will win today's game, with odds of 1.37.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, GWS won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 136:161. (average 34:40.3).

Including home match between the teams, GWS won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 41:39.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Greater Western Sydney Giants Women
AFL Women
28.09.25	West Coast Eagles - Greater Western Sydney Giants	75:33 ✺
20.09.25	Sydney Swans - Greater Western Sydney Giants	42:49 ✺
13.09.25	Greater Western Sydney Giants - Western Bulldogs	50:29 ✺
05.09.25	Gold Coast Suns - Greater Western Sydney Giants	52:33 ✺
29.08.25	Greater Western Sydney Giants - Adelaide Crows	22:54 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 37.1 LWWLL
- St Kilda Saints Women
AFL Women
27.09.25	St Kilda Saints - Port Adelaide Power	53:42 ✺
21.09.25	St Kilda Saints - Richmond Tigers	43:36 ✺
13.09.25	Essendon Bombers - St Kilda Saints	8:60 ✺
06.09.25	Hawthorn Hawks - St Kilda Saints	40:17 ✺
30.08.25	St Kilda Saints - West Coast Eagles	28:42 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

AFL Women
08.10.24	St Kilda Saints - Greater Western Sydney Giants	49:15
13.10.23	St Kilda Saints - Greater Western Sydney Giants	48:35
23.02.22	Greater Western Sydney Giants - St Kilda Saints	41:39
12.03.21	St Kilda Saints - Greater Western Sydney Giants	25:45

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