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Current Win Probability
St Kilda Saints 26.2%
Draw 7%
West Coast Eagles 66.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
29.3%
1.8%
68.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
21.8%
1.3%
92.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
St Kilda Saints has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
West Coast Eagles has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for St Kilda Saints than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for West Coast Eagles than the current prediction. (+25.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that West Coast Eagles could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
St Kilda Saints - West Coast Eagles Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 49:33
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Key Events of the Match
1st Quarter (9 - 8)
2nd Quarter (8 - 12)
3rd Quarter (0 - 15)
4th Quarter (8 - 1)
Preview
St Kilda is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
West Coast has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
St Kilda may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Bookmakers give the edge to West Coast for this game.
In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, St Kilda has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 124:84 (averaging 41.3:28 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for St Kilda against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 48:64 goals (averaging 24:32 per game).
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