Match Info

AUSTRALIA: AFL Women

Date: 18 October 2024, Friday

Location: Alberton Oval (Alberton)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Fox Footy, Seven Network
United-kingdom	TNT Sports 2


	Port Adelaide Power		St Kilda Saints

	1	2
	1.78	1.9
	1.8	1.94	Watch
	1.8	1.95
	1.8	2
	1.78	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (2.04)	1.94 ↑ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 67.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Port Adelaide Power
52%

St Kilda Saints
48%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

45.7%

54.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.6%

60.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Port Adelaide Power has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Port Adelaide Power's performance.

St Kilda Saints has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and St Kilda Saints might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Port Adelaide Power than the current prediction. (-12.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Port Adelaide Power that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for St Kilda Saints than the current prediction. (+12.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that St Kilda Saints could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Port Adelaide Power - St Kilda Saints Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 33:36

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (31 - 6)
2nd Quarter (7 - 12)
3rd Quarter (8 - 0)
4th Quarter (1 - 14)

Preview

Recent matches Port Adelaide is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

St Kilda is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Port Adelaide could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently St Kilda have a series of home games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Port Adelaide won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 89:83 (average 44.5:41.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Port Adelaide Power Women
AFL Women
10.10.24	Port Adelaide Power - Collingwood Magpies	33:25 ✺
05.10.24	West Coast Eagles - Port Adelaide Power	36:49 ✺
29.09.24	Port Adelaide Power - Carlton Blues	58:23 ✺
24.09.24	Richmond Tigers - Port Adelaide Power	48:27 ✺
20.09.24	North Melbourne Kangaroos - Port Adelaide Power	42:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWWLL
- St Kilda Saints Women
AFL Women
13.10.24	St Kilda Saints - Melbourne Demons	30:44 ✺
08.10.24	St Kilda Saints - Greater Western Sydney Giants	49:15 ✺
04.10.24	Adelaide Crows - St Kilda Saints	26:22 ✺
27.09.24	St Kilda Saints - Fremantle Dockers	14:25 ✺
21.09.24	St Kilda Saints - Hawthorn Hawks	17:74 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

AFL Women
16.09.23	St Kilda Saints - Port Adelaide Power	48:56
22.10.22	St Kilda Saints - Port Adelaide Power	35:33

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Port Adelaide Power Women
AFL Women
23.10.26	Port Adelaide Power - Collingwood Magpies	✺
- St Kilda Saints Women
AFL Women
23.10.26	St Kilda Saints - Brisbane Lions	✺

Port Adelaide Power - St Kilda Saints: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide