Match Info

SANFL - Round 9

Date: 8 June 2026, Monday

Location: Unley Oval (Unley)


	Sturt		Norwood

	1	X	2
	1.72		2.05
	1.7		2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.68)	↓	2.03 ↓ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 139.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sturt
54.2%

Norwood
45.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

54.5%

0.9%

44.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2%

0.7%

60.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sturt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Norwood has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sturt than the current prediction. (-14%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sturt that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Norwood than the current prediction. (+14.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Norwood could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sturt - Norwood Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 72:68

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (14 - 25)
2nd Quarter (26 - 8)
3rd Quarter (20 - 18)
4th Quarter (19 - 31)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sturt won 4.

Sturt has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Norwood is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sturt won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 10 matches, and goals 1406:1406. (average 70.3:70.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Sturt won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 729:802. (average 72.9:80.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sturt FC
SANFL
31.05.26	South Adelaide - Sturt	74:103 ✺
23.05.26	Sturt - Central District	105:31 ✺
09.05.26	Sturt - Adelaide	117:69 ✺
03.05.26	West Adelaide - Sturt	65:61 ✺
25.04.26	Sturt - Glenelg	65:82 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WWWLL
- Norwood FC
SANFL
31.05.26	Norwood - Woodville-West Torrens	93:49 ✺
23.05.26	North Adelaide - Norwood	48:117 ✺
09.05.26	Norwood - West Adelaide	134:31 ✺
02.05.26	Central District - Norwood	22:71 ✺
24.04.26	Norwood - Port Adelaide	68:61 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

SANFL
27.03.26	Norwood - Sturt	66:71
09.06.25	Sturt - Norwood	76:72
17.04.25	Norwood - Sturt	40:81
10.06.24	Sturt - Norwood	65:37
28.03.24	Norwood - Sturt	77:50
02.07.23	Sturt - Norwood	30:59
06.04.23	Norwood - Sturt	53:106

Sturt - Norwood: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide