Match Info
VFL - Round 16Date: 12 July 2025, SaturdayLocation: Avalon Airport Oval (Werribee)
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 |
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 |
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Werribee |
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Casey Scorpions |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.86 |
|
1.82 |
|
 |
1.91 |
|
1.85 |
|
 |
1.91 |
|
1.85 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.89 ↓
(1.91) |
|
1.84 ↓
(1.85) |
|
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)
- The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Werribee
49.3% | Casey Scorpions
50.7% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML EstimationAnalysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Werribee has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)Casey Scorpions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Werribee than the current prediction. (+4.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casey Scorpions than the current prediction. (-4.9%) 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Quarter (12 - 16)
- 2nd Quarter (7 - 19)
- 3rd Quarter (8 - 42)
- 4th Quarter (8 - 34)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Werribee won 2.Werribee has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).Casey has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).Casey may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match. We predict that Casey will win today's game, with odds of 1.85.In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Werribee won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 587:693. (average 73.4:86.6).Including home matches between the teams, Werribee won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 393:392. (average 78.6:78.4).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| VFL | | | 27.05.23 | Werribee - Casey Scorpions | 106:78 | | 09.07.21 | Werribee - Casey Scorpions | 57:116 | | 01.06.19 | Werribee - Casey Scorpions | 88:53 | | 14.04.18 | Werribee - Casey Scorpions | 55:71 | | 26.08.17 | Casey Scorpions - Werribee | 81:66 | | 07.05.17 | Werribee - Casey Scorpions | 87:74 | | 14.08.16 | Casey Scorpions - Werribee | 151:46 |
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