Match Info
AFL - Round 8Date: 2 May 2026, SaturdayLocation: Optus Stadium (Perth)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Australia | AFL |
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West Coast Eagles |
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Richmond Tigers |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.38 |
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3.1 |
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1.38 |
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2.8 |
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 |
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 Watch |
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.38 ↓
(1.42) |
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2.95 ↑
(2.9) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 179.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-17)
- The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
West Coast Eagles
68.1% | Richmond Tigers
31.9% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML EstimationAnalysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:West Coast Eagles has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)Richmond Tigers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for West Coast Eagles than the current prediction. (-3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Richmond Tigers than the current prediction. (+3.4%)West Coast Eagles - Richmond Tigers Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 99:82 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Quarter (14 - 21)
- 00:25, Owies M. (Behind),
- 01:01, Reid H. (G),
- 05:09, Campbell S. (Behind),
- 07:18, Campbell S. (G),
- 13:36, Schoenberg H. (Behind),
- 14:37, Faull J. (G),
- 18:17, Owies M. (G),
- 20:32, Lynch T. (Behind),
- 23:42, Sonsie T. (Behind),
- 27:20, Lefau M. (G),
- 2nd Quarter (28 - 31)
- 00:16, Reid H. (G),
- 01:25, (Behind Rushed),
- 05:42, Champion M. (G),
- 10:46, Waterman J. (G),
- 12:31, Faull J. (G),
- 15:26, Lynch T. (Behind),
- 18:57, Faull J. (G),
- 21:36, Duursma W. (Behind),
- 22:44, Yeo E. (Behind),
- 24:32, Lynch T. (G),
- 26:03, Maric R. (G),
- 28:09, Reid H. (Behind),
- 30:10, Balta N. (G),
- 32:18, Balta N. (G),
- 3rd Quarter (21 - 15)
- 01:11, Shanahan J. (Behind),
- 03:52, (Behind Rushed),
- 04:49, Green S. (G),
- 08:46, (Behind Rushed),
- 12:12, McAuliffe K. (G),
- 13:31, Kelly T. (G),
- 17:16, Owies M. (Behind),
- 18:54, Campbell S. (Behind),
- 20:21, Shanahan J. (G),
- 23:07, Lefau M. (Behind),
- 27:43, Waterman J. (G),
- 4th Quarter (25 - 32)
- 00:28, Yeo E. (G),
- 03:28, Balta N. (G),
- 05:17, Campbell S. (G),
- 10:01, Waterman J. (G),
- 13:38, Williams B. (G),
- 18:25, Waterman J. (Behind),
- 22:24, Lynch T. (Behind),
- 24:16, Green S. (G),
- 26:28, Sonsie T. (G),
- 29:33, Duursma W. (G),
- 31:16, Campbell S. (G),
- 33:13, Lefau M. (Behind),
Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 15 and 18).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, West Coast won 1.West Coast has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).Richmond is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).Richmond may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, West Coast is considered a favorite.In the last 18 head-to-head matches, West Coast won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 12 matches, and goals 1253:1456. (average 69.6:80.9).Including home matches between the teams, West Coast won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 725:821. (average 72.5:82.1).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| AFL | | | 19.07.25 | West Coast Eagles - Richmond Tigers | 56:105 | | 10.05.25 | Richmond Tigers - West Coast Eagles | 81:79 | | 14.04.24 | West Coast Eagles - Richmond Tigers | 109:70 | | 16.07.23 | West Coast Eagles - Richmond Tigers | 60:98 | | 05.05.23 | Richmond Tigers - West Coast Eagles | 104:58 | | 03.07.22 | Richmond Tigers - West Coast Eagles | 128:93 | | 29.04.22 | West Coast Eagles - Richmond Tigers | 56:165 |
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