Match Info

BWF WORLD TOUR - MEN: Arctic Open - Semi-finals

Date: 11 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Energia Areena (Vantaa)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Premier Sports Player


	Arnaud Merkle		Tien Chen Chou

	1	2
	4	1.22	Watch
	3.55	1.25
	1.70	1.98	Watch
	3.34	1.29
	2.63	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.04 ↑ (2.74)	1.43 ↑ (1.4)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arnaud Merkle
32%

Tien Chen Chou
68%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.7%

66.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33%

67%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arnaud Merkle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Tien Chen Chou has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arnaud Merkle than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tien Chen Chou than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Arnaud Merkle - Tien Chen Chou Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Chou will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

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Preview

Merkle is ranked BWF: 45. Chou is ranked BWF: 5.

Merkle has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Chou is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Merkle may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Chou will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Chou will win today's game, with odds of 1.4.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Merkle won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arnaud Merkle
Badminton
10.10.25	Arnaud Merkle - Jia Heng Jason Teh	2:0 ✺
09.10.25	Arnaud Merkle - Kenta Nishimoto	2:0 ✺
08.10.25	Arnaud Merkle - Joakim Oldorff	2:0 ✺
17.09.25	Bismo Raya Oktora - Arnaud Merkle	2:0 ✺
14.09.25	Arnaud Merkle - Panitchaphon Teeraratsakul	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WWWLL
- Tien Chen Chou
Badminton
10.10.25	Guangzu Lu - Tien Chen Chou	1:2 ✺
09.10.25	Tzu Wei Wang - Tien Chen Chou	1:2 ✺
08.10.25	Ditlev Jaeger Holm - Tien Chen Chou	1:2 ✺
27.09.25	Anders Antonsen - Tien Chen Chou	2:1 ✺
26.09.25	Tien Chen Chou - Kean Yew Loh	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Badminton
09.10.24	Tien Chen Chou - Arnaud Merkle	2:0

Arnaud Merkle - Tien Chen Chou: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide