Match Info

MLB

Date: 13 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Fenway Park (Boston, MA)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	fubo Sports Network
Usa	Braves Vision, SportsNet Pittsburgh
World	MLB.TV


	Boston Red Sox		Kansas City Royals

	1	2
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.50	2.65
	1.51	2.57
	1.55	2.71
			Watch
	1.51	2.65
	1.56	2.64	Watch
	1.52	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.55)	2.62 ↑ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 7.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boston Red Sox
63.2%

Kansas City Royals
36.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.8%

38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.2%

38.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boston Red Sox has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Kansas City Royals has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boston Red Sox than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kansas City Royals than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Boston Red Sox - Kansas City Royals Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Boston will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Kansas City will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 5:3

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Lineups

Batters
19. Anthony R.	12. Loftin N.
37. Jones J.	7. Witt B.
52. Abreu W.	14. Caglianone J.
40. Contreras W.	13. Perez S.
31. Rutschman A.	19. Massey M.
10. Story T.	24. Lugo M.
5. Durbin C.	1. Collins I.
20. Sogard N.	18. Maile L.
18. Eaton N.	2. Tolbert T.
Pitchers
70. Tolle P.	65. Cameron N.
Coaches
. Tracy C.	. Quatraro M.

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Boston won 4.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Recently, Boston has had a series of home games.

Boston is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Boston won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 100:76. (average 5:3.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Boston won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 35:28. (average 4.4:3.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Kansas City Royals - the odds 2.51 are the expected chance of winning is 38.22%, but this team recently wins 47% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boston Red Sox
MLB
12.09.26	Boston Red Sox - Kansas City Royals	5:1 ✺
11.09.26	Boston Red Sox - Kansas City Royals	2:3 ✺
09.09.26	Boston Red Sox - Los Angeles Angels	4:6 ✺
08.09.26	Boston Red Sox - Los Angeles Angels	1:6 ✺
07.09.26	Boston Red Sox - Los Angeles Angels	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLLLW
- Kansas City Royals
MLB
12.09.26	Boston Red Sox - Kansas City Royals	5:1 ✺
11.09.26	Boston Red Sox - Kansas City Royals	2:3 ✺
09.09.26	Kansas City Royals - Arizona Diamondbacks	5:2 ✺
08.09.26	Kansas City Royals - Arizona Diamondbacks	3:5 ✺
07.09.26	Kansas City Royals - Arizona Diamondbacks	4:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

MLB
12.09.26	Boston Red Sox - Kansas City Royals	5:1
11.09.26	Boston Red Sox - Kansas City Royals	2:3
20.05.26	Kansas City Royals - Boston Red Sox	3:4
19.05.26	Kansas City Royals - Boston Red Sox	1:7
18.05.26	Kansas City Royals - Boston Red Sox	1:3
06.08.25	Boston Red Sox - Kansas City Royals	3:7
05.08.25	Boston Red Sox - Kansas City Royals	6:2

Boston Red Sox - Kansas City Royals: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide