Match Info

NPB

Date: 27 August 2026, Thursday

Location: ZOZO Marine Stadium (Chiba)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	fubo Sports Network
Japan	SKY PerfecTV!


	Chiba Lotte Marines		Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks

	1	2
	2.55	1.48
	2.35	1.57
	2.6	1.5
	2.7	1.52
			Watch
	2.6	1.51
	2.57	1.55	Watch
	2.6	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↑ (2.3)	1.52 ↓ (1.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 8.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chiba Lotte Marines
37.2%

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks
62.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.4%

58.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

56.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chiba Lotte Marines has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chiba Lotte Marines than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chiba Lotte Marines, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Chiba Lotte Marines - Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Chiba will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Fukuoka will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:5

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Lineups

Batters
1. Fujiwara K.	31. Masaki T.
6. Nishikawa M.	23. Shuto U.
51. Yamaguchi K.	3. Kondoh K.
32. Satoh T.	24. Kurihara R.
99. Soto N.	9. Yanagita Y.
57. Ogawa R.	39. Yamamoto Y.
5. Yasuda H.	8. Makihara T.
2. Matsukawa K.	33. Hirose R.
67. Chatani K.	25. Shoji Y.
Pitchers
13. Mouri K.	64. Kamichatani T.
Coaches
. Omura S.	. Kokubo H.

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 5 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NPB (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chiba won 2.

Chiba is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Fukuoka has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Chiba has had a series of home games.

Fukuoka could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Chiba won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 178:215. (average 8.9:10.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Chiba won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 20:34. (average 2.2:3.8).

Outrights of NPB for now

Fukuoka S. Hawks: 32.52% Chiba Lotte Marines: 3.39%

Last Results with these Odds

Chiba Lotte Marines - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 41.44%, but this team recently wins 52% of matches with these odds.

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks - the odds 1.63 are the expected chance of winning is 58.56%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chiba Lotte Marines
NPB
26.08.26	Chiba Lotte Marines - Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks	6:5 ✺
25.08.26	Chiba Lotte Marines - Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks	0:9 ✺
23.08.26	Chiba Lotte Marines - Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters	3:2 ✺
21.08.26	Chiba Lotte Marines - Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters	4:3 ✺
20.08.26	Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles - Chiba Lotte Marines	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WLWWW
- Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks
NPB
26.08.26	Chiba Lotte Marines - Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks	6:5 ✺
25.08.26	Chiba Lotte Marines - Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks	0:9 ✺
23.08.26	Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks - Orix Buffaloes	0:3 ✺
22.08.26	Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks - Orix Buffaloes	7:1 ✺
20.08.26	Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters - Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks	5:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWLWT

Latest Head to Head

NPB
26.08.26	Chiba Lotte Marines - Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks	6:5
25.08.26	Chiba Lotte Marines - Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks	0:9
13.08.26	Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks - Chiba Lotte Marines	3:4
12.08.26	Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks - Chiba Lotte Marines	10:4
11.08.26	Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks - Chiba Lotte Marines	16:2
20.07.26	Chiba Lotte Marines - Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks	4:5
19.07.26	Chiba Lotte Marines - Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks	0:3

Chiba Lotte Marines - Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide