The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters 47.3%
Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks 52.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.8%
54.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.1%
52.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
40%
0%
60%
Hokkaido Nippon Ham Fighters - Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Hokkaido will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Fukuoka will win (votes: 3 - 60%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:5
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Lineups
Batters
53. Mizutani S.
31. Masaki T.
43. Mizuno T.
23. Shuto U.
99. Reyes F.
3. Kondoh K.
61. Imagawa Y.
24. Kurihara R.
21. Kiyomiya K.
9. Yanagita Y.
6. Castro C.
39. Yamamoto Y.
64. Tamiya Y.
32. Yanagimachi T.
39. Arizono N.
25. Shoji Y.
49. Ohtsuka R.
8. Makihara T.
Pitchers
16. Tatsu K.
10. Uwasawa N.
Coaches
. Shinjo T.
. Kokubo H.
Preview
The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NPB (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NPB (Play Offs: Semi~finals))
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hokkaido won 3.
Hokkaido has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
In recent matches, Fukuoka has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Recently, Hokkaido has had a series of home games.
Recently, Fukuoka has had a series of away games.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hokkaido won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 14 matches, and goals 74:126. (average 3.7:6.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Hokkaido won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 48:74. (average 4:6.2).
Outrights of NPB for now
Fukuoka S. Hawks: 36.98% Nippon Ham Fighters: 6.91%
Last Results with these Odds
Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters - the odds 2.08 are the expected chance of winning is 45.81%, but this team recently wins 61% of matches with these odds.
Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks - the odds 1.76 are the expected chance of winning is 54.19%, but this team recently wins 48% of matches with these odds.
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Japan
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Mizutani S. 
Reyes F. 
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