Match Info
MLBDate: 7 May 2026, ThursdayLocation: Wrigley Field (Chicago, IL)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Japan | J sports 3 |
 World | MLB.TV |
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Chicago Cubs |
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Cincinnati Reds |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.5 |
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2.65 |
 Watch |
 |
1.51 |
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2.57 |
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 |
1.53 |
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2.71 |
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 |
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Watch |
 |
1.47 |
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2.65 |
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 |
1.55 |
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2.67 |
Watch |
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.51
(1.51) |
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2.65 ↑
(2.63) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 9.00
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)
- The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Chicago Cubs
63.7% | Cincinnati Reds
36.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chicago Cubs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)Cincinnati Reds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chicago Cubs than the current prediction. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cincinnati Reds than the current prediction. (-1.3%)Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Chi Cubs will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Cincinnati will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Chi Cubs: 40% – 93.4%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Chi Cubs (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 6:4 
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Lineups
| Batters |
|---|
2.  Hoerner N.
| 17. Myers D.
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25.  Ballesteros M.
| 9. McLain M.
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3. Bregman A.
| 44.  De la Cruz E.
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8. Happ I.
| 27. Stewart S.
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29. Busch M.
| 7. Steer S.
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20. Conforto M.
| 37. Stephenson T.
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7. Swanson D.
| 22. Bleday JJ
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4. Crow-Armstrong P.
| 59. Dunn B.
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9.  Amaya M.
| 3. Hayes K.
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| Pitchers |
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18.  Imanaga S.
| 25. Lowder R.
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| Coaches |
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. Counsell C.
| . Francona T.
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Preview
1 extra inning played.Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 and 7).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chi Cubs won 3.Chi Cubs has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).Cincinnati is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).Recently, Chi Cubs has had a series of home games.Recently, Cincinnati has had a series of away games. Chi Cubs could have a small edge in this match.We predict that Chi Cubs will win today's game, with odds of 1.52.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Chi Cubs won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 86:92. (average 4.3:4.6).Including home matches between the teams, Chi Cubs won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 42:40. (average 3.5:3.3).
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Outrights of MLB for now
Chicago Cubs: 5.49% Cincinnati Reds: 1.61%
Last Results with these Odds
Cincinnati Reds - the odds 2.63 are the expected chance of winning is 36.44%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| MLB | | | 06.05.26 | Chicago Cubs - Cincinnati Reds | 7:6 | | 05.05.26 | Chicago Cubs - Cincinnati Reds | 3:2 | | 04.05.26 | Chicago Cubs - Cincinnati Reds | 5:4 | | MLB Spring Training | | | 02.03.26 | Cincinnati Reds - Chicago Cubs | 17:9 | | MLB | | | 21.09.25 | Cincinnati Reds - Chicago Cubs | 1:0 | | 20.09.25 | Cincinnati Reds - Chicago Cubs | 6:3 | | 19.09.25 | Cincinnati Reds - Chicago Cubs | 7:4 |
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