The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Chicago Cubs 65.1%
Miami Marlins 34.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
62.3%
37.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
61.6%
38.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chicago Cubs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
Miami Marlins has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chicago Cubs than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miami Marlins than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
87.5%
0%
12.5%
Chicago Cubs - Miami Marlins Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -1.5, OT - Chi Cubs (2.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/E Runs, OT - even (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Chicago Cubs will win
(7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%). Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% โ 100%.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Chi Cubs (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 5:3
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Lineups
Batters
4. Crow-Armstrong P.
6. Lopez O.
27. Suzuki S.
13. Hernandez H.
29. Busch M.
87. Marsee J.
20. Conforto M.
8. Sanoja J.
8. Happ I.
50. Ramirez A.
2. Hoerner N.
3. Ruiz E.
75. Ramirez P.
63. De Los Santos D.
15. Kelly C.
68. Serna J.
7. Swanson D.
64. Navarreto B.
Pitchers
16. Boyd M.
30. Phillips T.
Coaches
. Counsell C.
. McCullough C.
Preview
This match features a clash between a top-table contender and a mid-table team (ranked 5th and 9th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chi Cubs won 2.
Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.
Recently, Miami has had a run of games away from home.
Chi Cubs is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Chi Cubs has recorded 11 wins, 0 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 101:80 (averaging 5.1:4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Chi Cubs against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with 41:42 goals (averaging 3.7:3.8 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Miami Marlins - the odds 2.56 are the expected chance of winning is 37.66%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.