Match Info

MLB

Date: 16 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Great American Ball Park (Cincinnati, OH)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	fubo Sports Network
World	MLB.TV


	Cincinnati Reds		Miami Marlins

	1	2
	2.01	1.82	Watch
	2.05	1.80
	2.06	1.78
	2.11	1.86
			Watch
	2.05	1.83
	2.07	1.86	Watch
	2.04	1.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↑ (2.06)	1.82 ↑ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 8.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 1.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cincinnati Reds
47%

Miami Marlins
53%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.9%

53.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.3%

51.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cincinnati Reds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Miami Marlins has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cincinnati Reds than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miami Marlins than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Cincinnati Reds - Miami Marlins Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Cincinnati will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 5:5

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Lineups

Batters
44. De la Cruz E.	6. Lopez O.
27. Stewart S.	13. Hernandez H.
22. Bleday JJ	50. Ramirez A.
28. Suarez E.	9. Edwards X.
48. Toglia M.	8. Sanoja J.
9. McLain M.	19. Jimenez L.
35. Trevino J.	3. Ruiz E.
29. Friedl T.	87. Marsee J.
3. Hayes K.	64. Navarreto B.
Pitchers
40. Lodolo N.	39. Perez E.
Coaches
. Francona T.	. McCullough C.

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Miami may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 99:84. (average 5:4.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Cincinnati won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 40:40. (average 4.4:4.4).

Last Results with these Odds

Cincinnati Reds - the odds 2.06 are the expected chance of winning is 46.9%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Miami Marlins - the odds 1.82 are the expected chance of winning is 53.1%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cincinnati Reds
MLB
15.08.26	Cincinnati Reds - Miami Marlins	4:8 ✺
14.08.26	Cincinnati Reds - Miami Marlins	1:0 ✺
13.08.26	Chicago White Sox - Cincinnati Reds	8:9 ✺
12.08.26	Chicago White Sox - Cincinnati Reds	5:0 ✺
11.08.26	Chicago White Sox - Cincinnati Reds	4:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LWWLW
- Miami Marlins
MLB
15.08.26	Cincinnati Reds - Miami Marlins	4:8 ✺
14.08.26	Cincinnati Reds - Miami Marlins	1:0 ✺
13.08.26	Miami Marlins - Pittsburgh Pirates	1:13 ✺
12.08.26	Miami Marlins - Pittsburgh Pirates	8:2 ✺
11.08.26	Miami Marlins - Pittsburgh Pirates	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

MLB
15.08.26	Cincinnati Reds - Miami Marlins	4:8
14.08.26	Cincinnati Reds - Miami Marlins	1:0
09.04.26	Miami Marlins - Cincinnati Reds	7:4
08.04.26	Miami Marlins - Cincinnati Reds	7:4
07.04.26	Miami Marlins - Cincinnati Reds	3:6
06.04.26	Miami Marlins - Cincinnati Reds	0:2
10.07.25	Cincinnati Reds - Miami Marlins	6:0

Cincinnati Reds - Miami Marlins: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide