The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters 65.2%
Orix Buffaloes 34.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
62.6%
37.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
61.7%
38.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
Orix Buffaloes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orix Buffaloes than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
Hokkaido Nippon Ham Fighters - Orix Buffaloes Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 8:0
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Lineups
Batters
7. Nishikawa H.
7. Nishikawa R.
31. Shibata R.
38. Kita R.
21. Kiyomiya K.
1. Ohta R.
5. Nomura Y.
99. Sugimoto Y.
3. Gunji Y.
6. Mune Y.
66. Mannami C.
24. Kurebayashi K.
53. Mizutani S.
9. Noguchi T.
49. Ohtsuka R.
25. Naito H.
54. Yamagata S.
62. Hori S.
Pitchers
14. Katoh T.
47. Yamaguchi R.
Coaches
. Shinjo T.
. Kishida M.
Preview
Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 3rd in the Promotion ~ NPB PlayoffsQuarter~finals) and 4th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hokkaido won 2.
The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.
Hokkaido could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Hokkaido has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.
Hokkaido is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Hokkaido has recorded 11 wins, 0 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 109:82 (averaging 5.5:4.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Hokkaido against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 51:30 goals (averaging 6.4:3.8 per game).
Outrights of NPB for now
Nippon Ham Fighters: 6% Orix Buffaloes: 5.86%
Last Results with these Odds
Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters - the odds 1.53 are the expected chance of winning is 62.55%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.
Orix Buffaloes - the odds 2.55 are the expected chance of winning is 37.45%, but this team recently wins 17% of matches with these odds.