Match Info

MLB - Wild Card - Final

Date: 30 September 2026, Wednesday

Location: Daikin Park (Houston, TX)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay
Usa	NBCSN
World	MLB.TV


	Houston Astros		Chicago White Sox

	1	2
	1.6	2.25	Watch
	1.67	2.25
	1.66	2.22
	1.69	2.34
			Watch
	1.68	2.3
	1.7	2.31	Watch
	1.66	2.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.67)	2.28 ↑ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 7.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Houston Astros
57.8%

Chicago White Sox
42.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.3%

42.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.8%

43.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Houston Astros has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Chicago White Sox has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Houston Astros than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chicago White Sox than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Houston Astros - Chicago White Sox Predictions

Users Predictions: Houston Astros will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 5:3

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Lineups

Batters
3. Pena J.	17. Antonacci S.
44. Alvarez Y.	8. Teel K.
15. Paredes I.	20. Vargas M.
27. Altuve J.	5. Murakami M.
21. Diaz Y.	23. Benintendi A.
8. Walker C.	29. Peters T.
28. Spence L.	10. Meidroth C.
11. Smith C.	24. Montgomery B.
20. Allen N.	12. Montgomery C.
Pitchers
58. Brown H.	59. Burke S.
Coaches
. Espada J.	. Venable W.

Preview

Chicago White Sox leads series 1-0. Second leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Houston won 3.

In recent outings, Houston has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Chi White Sox shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Recently, Houston has faced a series of away games on the road.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Houston holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Houston has recorded 12 wins, 0 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 86:70 (averaging 4.3:3.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Houston against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 46:31 goals (averaging 4.2:2.8 per game).

Outrights of MLB for now

Chicago White Sox: 4.52%

Last Results with these Odds

Chicago White Sox - the odds 2.24 are the expected chance of winning is 42.75%, but this team recently wins 52% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Houston Astros
MLB
29.09.26	Houston Astros - Chicago White Sox	3:6 ✺
27.09.26	Athletics - Houston Astros	0:9 ✺
26.09.26	Athletics - Houston Astros	2:13 ✺
25.09.26	Athletics - Houston Astros	6:5 ✺
24.09.26	Athletics - Houston Astros	5:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LWWLW
- Chicago White Sox
MLB
29.09.26	Houston Astros - Chicago White Sox	3:6 ✺
27.09.26	Chicago White Sox - Colorado Rockies	4:2 ✺
26.09.26	Chicago White Sox - Colorado Rockies	6:9 ✺
25.09.26	Chicago White Sox - Colorado Rockies	6:1 ✺
24.09.26	Kansas City Royals - Chicago White Sox	1:9 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

MLB
29.09.26	Houston Astros - Chicago White Sox	3:6
03.09.26	Houston Astros - Chicago White Sox	6:2
02.09.26	Houston Astros - Chicago White Sox	2:0
01.09.26	Houston Astros - Chicago White Sox	1:5
31.08.26	Houston Astros - Chicago White Sox	6:3
26.07.26	Chicago White Sox - Houston Astros	12:3
25.07.26	Chicago White Sox - Houston Astros	1:4

Houston Astros - Chicago White Sox: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide