Match Info

MLB

Date: 16 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Daikin Park (Houston, TX)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN 3
Australia	ESPN
Canada	fubo Sports Network
Colombia	ESPN 3
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	beIN Sports MAX 4
Mexico	Disney+
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	ESPN 3
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	HBO Max, TNT Sports 1
World	MLB.TV


	Houston Astros		Seattle Mariners

	1	2
	1.8	2.05	Watch
	1.78	2.05
	1.78	2.03
	1.84	2.11
			Watch
	1.79	2.06
	1.85	2.09	Watch
	1.79	2.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↑ (1.76)	2.06 ↓ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 7.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Houston Astros
53.3%

Seattle Mariners
46.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.3%

45.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.1%

46.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Houston Astros has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Seattle Mariners has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Houston Astros than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Seattle Mariners than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Houston Astros - Seattle Mariners Predictions

Users Predictions: Houston Astros will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 5:3

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Lineups

Batters
3. Pena J.	33. Donovan B.
44. Alvarez Y.	56. Arozarena R.
15. Paredes I.	8. Canzone D.
27. Altuve J.	44. Rodriguez J.
18. Varsho D.	12. Naylor J.
8. Walker C.	2. Young C.
31. Wade L.	29. Raleigh C.
21. Diaz Y.	31. Wilson W.
20. Allen N.	90. Rodden B.
Pitchers
58. Brown H.	22. Woo B.
Coaches
. Espada J.	. Wilson D.

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Houston won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Houston may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Seattle has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Houston won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 85:114. (average 4.3:5.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Houston won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 51:69. (average 3.9:5.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Houston Astros
MLB
15.08.26	Houston Astros - Seattle Mariners	5:10 ✺
14.08.26	Houston Astros - Seattle Mariners	10:7 ✺
12.08.26	San Francisco Giants - Houston Astros	1:2 ✺
11.08.26	San Francisco Giants - Houston Astros	4:1 ✺
10.08.26	San Francisco Giants - Houston Astros	3:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LWWLW
- Seattle Mariners
MLB
15.08.26	Houston Astros - Seattle Mariners	5:10 ✺
14.08.26	Houston Astros - Seattle Mariners	10:7 ✺
13.08.26	New York Yankees - Seattle Mariners	0:1 ✺
12.08.26	New York Yankees - Seattle Mariners	10:5 ✺
11.08.26	New York Yankees - Seattle Mariners	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

MLB
15.08.26	Houston Astros - Seattle Mariners	5:10
14.08.26	Houston Astros - Seattle Mariners	10:7
14.05.26	Houston Astros - Seattle Mariners	3:8
13.05.26	Houston Astros - Seattle Mariners	4:3
12.05.26	Houston Astros - Seattle Mariners	2:10
11.05.26	Houston Astros - Seattle Mariners	1:3
13.04.26	Seattle Mariners - Houston Astros	6:2

Houston Astros - Seattle Mariners: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide