Match Info
MLBDate: 5 August 2026, WednesdayLocation: Daikin Park (Houston, TX)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Canada | fubo Sports Network |
 World | MLB.TV |
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Houston Astros |
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Toronto Blue Jays |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.42 |
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3 |
 Watch |
 |
1.44 |
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2.85 |
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 |
1.43 |
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2.84 |
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 |
1.47 |
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3.05 |
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Watch |
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1.42 |
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3 |
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 |
1.46 |
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3 |
Watch |
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1.44 |
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2.8 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.44 ↓
(1.95) |
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2.93 ↑
(1.9) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 7.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)
- The best margin for this event is 0.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Houston Astros
67.1% | Toronto Blue Jays
32.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Houston Astros has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Houston Astros's performance.Toronto Blue Jays has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Toronto Blue Jays might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Houston Astros than the current prediction. (-17.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Houston Astros that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto Blue Jays than the current prediction. (+17.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Toronto Blue Jays could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Houston Astros - Toronto Blue Jays Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Houston (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Houston Astros will win
(14 of 17 users predict this - 82.35%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.23% – 100%.Expected Score (Market Odds): 5:3 
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Lineups
| Batters |
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3.  Pena J.
| 38.  Lukes N.
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44.  Alvarez Y.
| 7.  Okamoto K.
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27.  Altuve J.
| 12. Sanchez J.
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18. Varsho D.
| 4. Springer G.
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26. Trammell T.
| 59.  Valenzuela B.
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8. Walker C.
| 8. Smith J.
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31. Wade L.
| 22. Clement E.
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21. Diaz Y.
| 0. Gimenez A.
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20. Allen N.
| 3. Straw M.
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| Pitchers |
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58. Brown H.
| 36.  Taillon J.
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| Coaches |
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.  Espada J.
| . Schneider J.
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Preview
A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 5 and 12).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Houston won 3.Houston is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).Toronto has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).Recently, Houston has had a series of home games. Houston will hold a modest advantage in this match.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Houston won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 94:59. (average 4.7:3).Including home matches between the teams, Houston won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 48:14. (average 5.3:1.6).
Last Results with these Odds
Toronto Blue Jays - the odds 1.9 are the expected chance of winning is 50.62%, but this team recently wins 58% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| MLB | | | 04.08.26 | Houston Astros - Toronto Blue Jays | 7:2 | | 03.08.26 | Houston Astros - Toronto Blue Jays | 1:3 | | 24.06.26 | Toronto Blue Jays - Houston Astros | 1:3 | | 23.06.26 | Toronto Blue Jays - Houston Astros | 7:9 | | 22.06.26 | Toronto Blue Jays - Houston Astros | 4:2 | | 11.09.25 | Toronto Blue Jays - Houston Astros | 6:0 | | 10.09.25 | Toronto Blue Jays - Houston Astros | 2:3 |
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