Match Info

LVBP

Date: 27 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Monumental Simon Bolivar (Caracas)

Where to Watch on TV:


Venezuela	Beisbol Play


	Leones del Caracas		Tiburones de La Guaira

	1	2
	1.95	1.77
			Watch
	2	1.73
			Watch
	2	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (1.98)	1.74 ↑ (1.74)

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leones del Caracas
46.7%

Tiburones de La Guaira
53.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.4%

53.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Leones del Caracas have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Tiburones de La Guaira have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leones del Caracas than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tiburones de La Guaira than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

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Lineups

Batters
7. Tovar W.	12. Querecuto J.
19. Soto L.	2. Escobar A.
9. Rondon J.	27. Acuna Jr. R.
37. Corredor A.	36. Castellanos P.
61. Cedeno L.	41. Montano D.
5. Arcia O.	6. Arias G.
31. Arcia O.	1. Barreto F.
21. Pinto R.	20. Rivero S.
56. Espinoza L.	16. Tocci C.
Pitchers
58. Font W.	37. Grotz Z.
Coaches
. Alguacil J.	. Davalillo M.

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 8 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leones del Caracas won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Tiburones may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Leones del Caracas won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 116:123. (average 5.8:6.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Leones del Caracas won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 66:78. (average 6:7.1).

Last Results with these Odds

Tiburones de La Guaira - the odds 1.74 are the expected chance of winning is 53.32%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leones del Caracas
Venezuelan LVBP
26.12.25	Cardenales de Lara - Leones del Caracas	15:13 ✺
22.12.25	Leones del Caracas - Bravos de Margarita	8:2 ✺
21.12.25	Leones del Caracas - Navegantes del Magallanes	7:3 ✺
19.12.25	Águilas del Zulia - Leones del Caracas	14:3 ✺
18.12.25	Águilas del Zulia - Leones del Caracas	6:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWWLL
- Tiburones de La Guaira
Venezuelan LVBP
26.12.25	Tiburones de La Guaira - Navegantes del Magallanes	6:17 ✺
21.12.25	Tiburones de La Guaira - Cardenales de Lara	4:13 ✺
19.12.25	Tiburones de La Guaira - Caribes de Anzoátegui	6:3 ✺
18.12.25	Bravos de Margarita - Tiburones de La Guaira	2:9 ✺
17.12.25	Bravos de Margarita - Tiburones de La Guaira	9:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Venezuelan LVBP
02.12.25	Tiburones de La Guaira - Leones del Caracas	0:3
29.11.25	Tiburones de La Guaira - Leones del Caracas	5:3
23.11.25	Leones del Caracas - Tiburones de La Guaira	7:9
19.11.25	Leones del Caracas - Tiburones de La Guaira	9:4
30.10.25	Leones del Caracas - Tiburones de La Guaira	6:10
24.10.25	Tiburones de La Guaira - Leones del Caracas	3:5
21.10.25	Tiburones de La Guaira - Leones del Caracas	6:5

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