Match Info

MLB

Date: 10 September 2026, Thursday

Location: Citizens Bank Park (Philadelphia, PA)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	fubo Sports Network
World	MLB.TV


	Philadelphia Phillies		Houston Astros

	1	2
	1.48	2.55	Watch
	1.53	2.55
	1.50	2.63
	1.56	2.64
			Watch
	1.53	2.60
	1.58	2.58	Watch
	1.53	2.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.6)	2.59 ↑ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 8.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Philadelphia Phillies
62.9%

Houston Astros
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.9%

40.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.3%

39.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Philadelphia Phillies has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Houston Astros has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Philadelphia Phillies than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Houston Astros than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Philadelphia Phillies - Houston Astros Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Philadelphia will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Houston will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 8:0

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Lineups

Batters
12. Schwarber K.	3. Pena J.
7. Turner T.	44. Alvarez Y.
3. Harper B.	15. Paredes I.
4. Arraez L.	27. Altuve J.
28. Bohm A.	18. Varsho D.
5. Stott B.	8. Walker C.
16. Marsh B.	11. Smith C.
2. Crawford J.	26. Trammell T.
13. Marchan R.	2. Vazquez C.
Pitchers
45. Wheeler Z.	53. Javier C.
Coaches
. Mattingly D.	. Espada J.

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 and 5).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Houston may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Philadelphia has had a series of home games.

Philadelphia might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 66:69. (average 3.3:3.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Philadelphia won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 39:36. (average 4.3:4).

Last Results with these Odds

Houston Astros - the odds 2.4 are the expected chance of winning is 40.06%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Philadelphia Phillies
MLB
09.09.26	Philadelphia Phillies - Houston Astros	11:7 ✺
08.09.26	Philadelphia Phillies - Houston Astros	5:6 ✺
07.09.26	Philadelphia Phillies - Atlanta Braves	1:0 ✺
06.09.26	Philadelphia Phillies - Atlanta Braves	4:5 ✺
05.09.26	Philadelphia Phillies - Atlanta Braves	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLWLW
- Houston Astros
MLB
09.09.26	Philadelphia Phillies - Houston Astros	11:7 ✺
08.09.26	Philadelphia Phillies - Houston Astros	5:6 ✺
06.09.26	Houston Astros - Arizona Diamondbacks	2:3 ✺
05.09.26	Houston Astros - Arizona Diamondbacks	3:4 ✺
04.09.26	Houston Astros - Arizona Diamondbacks	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

MLB
09.09.26	Philadelphia Phillies - Houston Astros	11:7
08.09.26	Philadelphia Phillies - Houston Astros	5:6
26.06.25	Houston Astros - Philadelphia Phillies	2:1
25.06.25	Houston Astros - Philadelphia Phillies	2:0
24.06.25	Houston Astros - Philadelphia Phillies	1:0
28.08.24	Philadelphia Phillies - Houston Astros	0:10
27.08.24	Philadelphia Phillies - Houston Astros	5:0

Philadelphia Phillies - Houston Astros: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide