Match Info

MLB

Date: 16 August 2026, Sunday

Location: PNC Park (Pittsburgh, PA)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	fubo Sports Network
World	MLB.TV


	Pittsburgh Pirates		Boston Red Sox

	1	2
	1.96	1.86	Watch
	1.95	1.87
	1.92	1.88
	1.99	1.95
			Watch
	1.96	1.91
	1.96	1.96	Watch
	1.95	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↑ (1.85)	1.9 ↓ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 8.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Pittsburgh Pirates
49.3%

Boston Red Sox
50.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.2%

47.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.3%

47.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pittsburgh Pirates has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Boston Red Sox has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pittsburgh Pirates than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boston Red Sox than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Pittsburgh Pirates - Boston Red Sox Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Boston will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:5

#ad

Lineups

Batters
19. Triolo J.	20. Sogard N.
55. Valdez E.	3. Rafaela C.
10. Reynolds B.	52. Abreu W.
5. Lowe B.	31. Rutschman A.
43. Flores R.	5. Durbin C.
28. Mangum J.	32. Monasterio A.
38. Yorke N.	16. Duran J.
25. Cook B.	48. Seigler A.
32. Davis H.	12. Wong C.
Pitchers
71. Bachar L.	43. Sandoval P.
Coaches
. Kelly D.	. Tracy C.

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 3).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pittsburgh won 3.

Pittsburgh has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Boston's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Boston has had a series of away games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pittsburgh won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 98:97. (average 4.9:4.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Pittsburgh won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 43:64. (average 4.3:6.4).

Last Results with these Odds

Boston Red Sox - the odds 2.02 are the expected chance of winning is 47.8%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pittsburgh Pirates
MLB
15.08.26	Pittsburgh Pirates - Boston Red Sox	0:4 ✺
14.08.26	Pittsburgh Pirates - Boston Red Sox	8:4 ✺
13.08.26	Miami Marlins - Pittsburgh Pirates	1:13 ✺
12.08.26	Miami Marlins - Pittsburgh Pirates	8:2 ✺
11.08.26	Miami Marlins - Pittsburgh Pirates	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LWWLL
- Boston Red Sox
MLB
15.08.26	Pittsburgh Pirates - Boston Red Sox	0:4 ✺
14.08.26	Pittsburgh Pirates - Boston Red Sox	8:4 ✺
13.08.26	Toronto Blue Jays - Boston Red Sox	0:7 ✺
12.08.26	Toronto Blue Jays - Boston Red Sox	6:4 ✺
11.08.26	Toronto Blue Jays - Boston Red Sox	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

MLB
15.08.26	Pittsburgh Pirates - Boston Red Sox	0:4
14.08.26	Pittsburgh Pirates - Boston Red Sox	8:4
MLB Spring Training
22.03.26	Pittsburgh Pirates - Boston Red Sox	3:6
08.03.26	Pittsburgh Pirates - Boston Red Sox	9:7
24.02.26	Boston Red Sox - Pittsburgh Pirates	7:16
MLB
31.08.25	Boston Red Sox - Pittsburgh Pirates	5:2
30.08.25	Boston Red Sox - Pittsburgh Pirates	3:10

Pittsburgh Pirates - Boston Red Sox: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide