Match Info

MLB

Date: 17 September 2026, Thursday

Location: PNC Park (Pittsburgh, PA)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	fubo Sports Network
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Oneplay Sport 2, Oneplay Sport 4
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	beIN Sports 3
Norway	Viaplay
Slovenia	Arena Sport 4
Sweden	Viaplay
Usa	Braves Vision, ESPN USA, NBC Sports California, SportsNet Pittsburgh
World	MLB.TV


	Pittsburgh Pirates		Milwaukee Brewers

	1	2
	2.10	1.70	Watch
	2.15	1.74
	2.12	1.74
	2.18	1.79
			Watch
	2.16	1.77
	2.19	1.78	Watch
	2.18	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↑ (2.09)	1.75 ↑ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 8.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Pittsburgh Pirates
44.8%

Milwaukee Brewers
55.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.1%

54.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5%

52.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pittsburgh Pirates has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Milwaukee Brewers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pittsburgh Pirates than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milwaukee Brewers than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Pittsburgh Pirates - Milwaukee Brewers Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Milwaukee will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 5:5

#ad

Lineups

Batters
6. Griffin K.	2. Turang B.
15. Cruz O.	18. Lara L.
10. Reynolds B.	11. Chourio J.
43. Flores R.	28. Vaughn A.
5. Lowe B.	99. Sanchez G.
3. Gonzales N.	3. Ortiz J.
63. Simon R.	10. Frelick S.
19. Triolo J.	14. Naylor B.
32. Davis H.	6. Hamilton D.
Pitchers
86. Dotel W.	52. Harrison K.
Coaches
. Kelly D.	. Murphy P.

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 1).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pittsburgh won 0.

Recent form of Pittsburgh has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Milwaukee is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pittsburgh won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 67:112. (average 3.4:5.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Pittsburgh won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 34:42. (average 4.3:5.3).

Outrights of MLB for now

Milwaukee Brewers: 24.06%

Last Results with these Odds

Pittsburgh Pirates - the odds 2.09 are the expected chance of winning is 45.14%, but this team recently wins 54% of matches with these odds.

Milwaukee Brewers - the odds 1.72 are the expected chance of winning is 54.86%, but this team recently wins 62% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pittsburgh Pirates
MLB
16.09.26	Pittsburgh Pirates - Milwaukee Brewers	4:5 ✺
15.09.26	Pittsburgh Pirates - Milwaukee Brewers	1:5 ✺
13.09.26	Chicago Cubs - Pittsburgh Pirates	3:4 ✺
12.09.26	Chicago Cubs - Pittsburgh Pirates	4:3 ✺
11.09.26	Chicago Cubs - Pittsburgh Pirates	12:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLWLL
- Milwaukee Brewers
MLB
16.09.26	Pittsburgh Pirates - Milwaukee Brewers	4:5 ✺
15.09.26	Pittsburgh Pirates - Milwaukee Brewers	1:5 ✺
13.09.26	Milwaukee Brewers - Cincinnati Reds	3:4 ✺
12.09.26	Milwaukee Brewers - Cincinnati Reds	13:9 ✺
11.09.26	Milwaukee Brewers - Cincinnati Reds	20:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

MLB
16.09.26	Pittsburgh Pirates - Milwaukee Brewers	4:5
15.09.26	Pittsburgh Pirates - Milwaukee Brewers	1:5
06.08.26	Milwaukee Brewers - Pittsburgh Pirates	5:2
05.08.26	Milwaukee Brewers - Pittsburgh Pirates	4:2
04.08.26	Milwaukee Brewers - Pittsburgh Pirates	4:2
03.08.26	Milwaukee Brewers - Pittsburgh Pirates	3:4
12.07.26	Pittsburgh Pirates - Milwaukee Brewers	14:5

Upcoming Matches