The best margin for this event is 1.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
San Diego Padres 41.6%
Arizona Diamondbacks 58.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49.1%
50.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50%
50%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Diego Padres has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that San Diego Padres's form might have worsened.
Arizona Diamondbacks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Arizona Diamondbacks's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Diego Padres than the current prediction. (+8.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Diego Padres, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arizona Diamondbacks than the current prediction. (-8.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Arizona Diamondbacks, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
57.1%
0%
42.9%
San Diego Padres - Arizona Diamondbacks Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. San Diego will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Arizona will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:5
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Lineups
Batters
29. Harris D.
21. Nootbaar L.
13. Machado M.
4. Marte K.
25. France T.
2. Perdomo G.
30. Sheets G.
28. Arenado N.
15. Hays A.
7. Carroll C.
9. Cronenworth J.
26. Smith P.
54. Fermin F.
13. Tawa T.
24. Song Sung-Mun
8. McCann J.
4. Bowen J.
10. Lawlar J.
Pitchers
98. Vasquez R.
34. Soroka M.
Coaches
. Stammen C.
. Lovullo T.
Preview
An intriguing matchup between an upper-bracket team and a mid-table rival (ranked 4th and 7th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Diego won 3.
San Diego has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Arizona shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Recently, Arizona has had a run of games away from home.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, San Diego has recorded 12 wins, 1 draw, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 104:99 (averaging 5.2:5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for San Diego against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 54:54 goals (averaging 5.4:5.4 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
San Diego Padres - the odds 1.95 are the expected chance of winning is 49.12%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.
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Harris D. 
Nootbaar L. 
Machado M. 
Arenado N. 
Fermin F. 
Song Sung-Mun 
Soroka M. 
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