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Current Win Probability
St. Louis Cardinals 51.1%
Arizona Diamondbacks 48.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
54.6%
45.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53%
47%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
St. Louis Cardinals has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
Arizona Diamondbacks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Louis Cardinals than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arizona Diamondbacks than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
46.9%
0%
53.1%
St. Louis Cardinals - Arizona Diamondbacks Predictions
Users Predictions:
32 users predict this event. St. Louis will win (votes: 15 - 46.9%). Arizona will win (votes: 17 - 53.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Arizona: 35.8% – 70.4%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. St. Louis (votes: 1 - 50%). Arizona (votes: 1 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 5:3
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Lineups
Batters
26. Wetherholt J.
4. Marte K.
48. Herrera I.
2. Perdomo G.
41. Burleson A.
7. Carroll C.
18. Walker J.
25. Del Castillo A.
21. Nootbaar L.
17. Kepler M.
0. Winn M.
26. Smith P.
27. Church N.
12. Gurriel L.
33. Jordan B.
6. Vargas I.
15. Fermin J.
9. Troy T.
Pitchers
36. McGreevy M.
23. Gallen Z.
Coaches
. Marmol O.
. Lovullo T.
Preview
This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 6 and 9).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. Louis won 1.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, St. Louis won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 96:110. (average 4.8:5.5).
Including home matches between the teams, St. Louis won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 56:57. (average 5.1:5.2).
Last Results with these Odds
St. Louis Cardinals - the odds 1.76 are the expected chance of winning is 54.56%, but this team recently wins 62% of matches with these odds.