Match Info

MLB

Date: 12 August 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Busch Stadium (St. Louis, MO) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	15:15	FOX Sports 3
Canada	14:15	fubo Sports Network
Germany	20:15	Magenta Sport, Sportdigital1+
Mexico	12:15	Disney+
Peru	13:15	ESPN 7, Fox Sports 2
United Kingdom	19:15	HBO Max, TNT Sports 2
International	18:15	MLB.TV


	St. Louis Cardinals		Philadelphia Phillies

	1	2
	2.42	1.57	Watch
	2.40	1.59
	2.37	1.58
	2.47	1.63
			Watch
	2.4	1.6
	2.46	1.63	Watch
	2.4	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↑ (2.3)	1.6 ↓ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 8.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

St. Louis Cardinals
39.8%

Philadelphia Phillies
60.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42%

58%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

57.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St. Louis Cardinals has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Philadelphia Phillies has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Louis Cardinals than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Philadelphia Phillies than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	0%	18.2%

St. Louis Cardinals - Philadelphia Phillies Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. St. Louis will win (votes: 9 - 81.8%). Philadelphia will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for St. Louis: 59% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:5

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Lineups

Batters
26. Wetherholt J.	12. Schwarber K.
48. Herrera I.	7. Turner T.
41. Burleson A.	3. Harper B.
18. Walker J.	4. Arraez L.
27. Church N.	5. Stott B.
0. Winn M.	16. Marsh B.
31. Prieto C.	10. Realmuto J.T.
15. Fermin J.	28. Bohm A.
8. Crooks J.	2. Crawford J.
Pitchers
62. Leahy K.	45. Wheeler Z.
Coaches
. Marmol O.	. Mattingly D.

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. Louis won 3.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

St. Louis may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.

Philadelphia will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, St. Louis won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 64:84. (average 3.2:4.2).

Including home matches between the teams, St. Louis won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 35:37. (average 3.2:3.4).

Last Results with these Odds

St. Louis Cardinals - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 42.02%, but this team recently wins 52% of matches with these odds.

Philadelphia Phillies - the odds 1.67 are the expected chance of winning is 57.98%, but this team recently wins 65% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- St. Louis Cardinals
MLB
11.08.26	St. Louis Cardinals - Philadelphia Phillies	2:0 ✺
10.08.26	St. Louis Cardinals - Philadelphia Phillies	5:6 ✺
09.08.26	St. Louis Cardinals - Colorado Rockies	7:4 ✺
08.08.26	St. Louis Cardinals - Colorado Rockies	6:8 ✺
07.08.26	St. Louis Cardinals - Colorado Rockies	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WLWLW
- Philadelphia Phillies
MLB
11.08.26	St. Louis Cardinals - Philadelphia Phillies	2:0 ✺
10.08.26	St. Louis Cardinals - Philadelphia Phillies	5:6 ✺
09.08.26	Philadelphia Phillies - Toronto Blue Jays	7:6 ✺
08.08.26	Philadelphia Phillies - Toronto Blue Jays	5:7 ✺
07.08.26	Philadelphia Phillies - Toronto Blue Jays	4:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

MLB
11.08.26	St. Louis Cardinals - Philadelphia Phillies	2:0
10.08.26	St. Louis Cardinals - Philadelphia Phillies	5:6
14.05.25	Philadelphia Phillies - St. Louis Cardinals	7:14
14.05.25	Philadelphia Phillies - St. Louis Cardinals	2:1
12.05.25	Philadelphia Phillies - St. Louis Cardinals	2:3
13.04.25	St. Louis Cardinals - Philadelphia Phillies	7:0
12.04.25	St. Louis Cardinals - Philadelphia Phillies	1:4

St. Louis Cardinals - Philadelphia Phillies