Match Info

MLB

Date: 30 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Busch Stadium (St. Louis, MO)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	fubo Sports Network
World	MLB.TV


	St. Louis Cardinals		Pittsburgh Pirates

	1	2
	2.05	1.79	Watch
	2.05	1.78
	2.03	1.78
	2.12	1.83
			Watch
	2.09	1.8
	2.13	1.82	Watch
	2	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↑ (1.96)	1.79 ↓ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 8.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

St. Louis Cardinals
46.4%

Pittsburgh Pirates
53.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.8%

51.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5%

51.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St. Louis Cardinals has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Pittsburgh Pirates has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Louis Cardinals than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pittsburgh Pirates than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

St. Louis Cardinals - Pittsburgh Pirates Predictions

Users Predictions: Pittsburgh Pirates will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:5

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Lineups

Batters
39. Torres B.	19. Triolo J.
48. Herrera I.	15. Cruz O.
41. Burleson A.	10. Reynolds B.
18. Walker J.	43. Flores R.
16. Gorman N.	5. Lowe B.
15. Fermin J.	55. Valdez E.
27. Church N.	28. Mangum J.
29. Urias R.	2. Horwitz S.
25. Saggese T.	38. Yorke N.
Pitchers
32. Liberatore M.	35. Ashcraft B.
Coaches
. Marmol O.	. Kelly D.

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. Louis won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

St. Louis may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, St. Louis has had a series of home games.

Recently, Pittsburgh has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, St. Louis won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 73:83. (average 3.7:4.2).

Including home matches between the teams, St. Louis won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 40:50. (average 3.3:4.2).

Last Results with these Odds

St. Louis Cardinals - the odds 1.96 are the expected chance of winning is 48.85%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.

Pittsburgh Pirates - the odds 1.87 are the expected chance of winning is 51.15%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- St. Louis Cardinals
MLB
29.08.26	St. Louis Cardinals - Pittsburgh Pirates	2:6 ✺
28.08.26	St. Louis Cardinals - Pittsburgh Pirates	4:1 ✺
27.08.26	St. Louis Cardinals - Baltimore Orioles	7:5 ✺
26.08.26	St. Louis Cardinals - Baltimore Orioles	7:8 ✺
25.08.26	St. Louis Cardinals - Baltimore Orioles	1:13 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LWWLL
- Pittsburgh Pirates
MLB
29.08.26	St. Louis Cardinals - Pittsburgh Pirates	2:6 ✺
28.08.26	St. Louis Cardinals - Pittsburgh Pirates	4:1 ✺
26.08.26	San Diego Padres - Pittsburgh Pirates	3:0 ✺
25.08.26	San Diego Padres - Pittsburgh Pirates	0:1 ✺
24.08.26	San Diego Padres - Pittsburgh Pirates	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

MLB
29.08.26	St. Louis Cardinals - Pittsburgh Pirates	2:6
28.08.26	St. Louis Cardinals - Pittsburgh Pirates	4:1
21.05.26	St. Louis Cardinals - Pittsburgh Pirates	2:6
20.05.26	St. Louis Cardinals - Pittsburgh Pirates	0:7
19.05.26	St. Louis Cardinals - Pittsburgh Pirates	9:6
30.04.26	Pittsburgh Pirates - St. Louis Cardinals	5:10
29.04.26	Pittsburgh Pirates - St. Louis Cardinals	4:5

St. Louis Cardinals - Pittsburgh Pirates: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide