Match Info
MLBDate: 30 August 2026, SundayLocation: Tropicana Field (St. Petersburg, FL)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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Canada | fubo Sports Network |
World | MLB.TV |
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Tampa Bay Rays |
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San Diego Padres |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.56 |
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2.45 |
Watch |
 |
1.59 |
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2.40 |
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 |
1.58 |
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2.37 |
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 |
1.62 |
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2.5 |
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 |
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Watch |
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1.58 |
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2.4 |
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 |
1.62 |
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2.48 |
Watch |
 |
1.57 |
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2.41 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.59 ↓ (1.59) |
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2.43 ↑ (2.4) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 7.00
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)
- The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Tampa Bay Rays 60.5% | San Diego Padres 39.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tampa Bay Rays has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)San Diego Padres has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tampa Bay Rays than the current prediction. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Diego Padres than the current prediction. (+0.9%)Tampa Bay Rays - San Diego Padres Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 7.5, OT - under (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 5:3 
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Lineups
| Batters |
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2. Diaz Y.
| 23. Tatis F. Jr.
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8. Aranda J.
| 9. Cronenworth J.
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13. Caminero J.
| 13. Machado M.
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26. Vilade R.
| 25. France T.
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14. Simpson C.
| 3. Merrill J.
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21. Deluca J.
| 2. Bogaerts X.
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9. Mateo J.
| 29. Harris D.
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40. Fortes N.
| 54. Fermin F.
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6. Walls T.
| 41. Song Sung-Mun
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| Pitchers |
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57. Rasmussen D.
| 38. Ray R.
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| Coaches |
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. Cash K.
| . Stammen C.
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Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 and 7).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 5.Tampa Bay is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).San Diego has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1). Tampa Bay will hold a modest advantage in this match.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 15 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 116:74. (average 5.8:3.7).Including home matches between the teams, Tampa Bay won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 78:46. (average 7.1:4.2).
Outrights of MLB for now
Tampa Bay Rays: 23.15%
Last Results with these Odds
Tampa Bay Rays - the odds 1.59 are the expected chance of winning is 60.08%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
San Diego Padres - the odds 2.4 are the expected chance of winning is 39.92%, but this team recently wins 47% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| MLB | | | 29.08.26 | Tampa Bay Rays - San Diego Padres | 7:6 | | 28.08.26 | Tampa Bay Rays - San Diego Padres | 9:4 | | 27.04.25 | San Diego Padres - Tampa Bay Rays | 2:4 | | 26.04.25 | San Diego Padres - Tampa Bay Rays | 1:4 | | 25.04.25 | San Diego Padres - Tampa Bay Rays | 0:1 | | 01.09.24 | Tampa Bay Rays - San Diego Padres | 3:4 | | 31.08.24 | Tampa Bay Rays - San Diego Padres | 11:4 |
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