Match Info

NPB

Date: 5 October 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Rakuten Seimei Park Miyagi (Sendai) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Japan	18:00	SKY PerfecTV!


	Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles		Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks

	1	2
	2.3	1.59
	2.30	1.60
	2.25	1.65
	2.32	1.67
			Watch
	2.25	1.63
	2.29	1.67	Watch
	2.25	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↓ (2.34)	1.63 ↑ (1.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 7.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles
41.7%

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks
58.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40.8%

59.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5%

57.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles - Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Fukuoka will win (votes: 2 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tohoku (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:5

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Lineups

Batters
32. Nakashima D.	32. Yanagimachi T.
1. Muneyama R.	8. Makihara T.
34. McCusker C.	9. Yanagita Y.
55. Yasuda Y.	24. Kurihara R.
8. Tatsumi R.	5. Yamakawa H.
6. Murabayashi I.	0. Kawase H.
24. Kurokawa F.	44. Sasagawa Y.
2. Ohta H.	62. Umino T.
0. Kobukata H.	25. Shoji Y.
Pitchers
18. Maeda K.	64. Kamichatani T.
Coaches
. Yoshii R.	. Kokubo H.

Preview

A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 6th and 1st in the Promotion ~ NPB PlayoffsSemi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tohoku won 4.

Tohoku has enjoyed a winning run and is in top form (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Performances by Fukuoka have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Recently, Fukuoka has had a run of games away from home.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Fukuoka holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Tohoku has recorded 10 wins, 1 draw, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 60:77 (averaging 3:3.9 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Tohoku against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with 27:31 goals (averaging 3.4:3.9 per game).

Outrights of NPB for now

Fukuoka S. Hawks: 26.12% Rakuten Gold. Eagles: 2.97%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles
NPB
04.10.26	Chiba Lotte Marines - Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles	3:2 ✺
03.10.26	Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles - Orix Buffaloes	4:0 ✺
01.10.26	Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles - Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks	2:8 ✺
30.09.26	Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles - Chiba Lotte Marines	3:0 ✺
29.09.26	Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles - Chiba Lotte Marines	3:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWLWL
- Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks
NPB
03.10.26	Chiba Lotte Marines - Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks	2:1 ✺
02.10.26	Chiba Lotte Marines - Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks	3:4 ✺
01.10.26	Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles - Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks	2:8 ✺
27.09.26	Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks - Orix Buffaloes	12:5 ✺
26.09.26	Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks - Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

NPB
01.10.26	Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles - Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks	2:8
26.09.26	Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks - Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles	4:0
20.09.26	Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles - Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks	5:3
19.09.26	Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles - Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks	5:2
16.08.26	Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks - Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles	6:1
15.08.26	Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks - Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles	4:6
14.08.26	Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks - Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles	2:5

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