The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Toronto Blue Jays 60.5%
Cincinnati Reds 39.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
61.2%
38.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
61.5%
38.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Toronto Blue Jays has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
Cincinnati Reds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto Blue Jays than the current prediction. (+1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cincinnati Reds than the current prediction. (-1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
83.3%
0%
16.7%
Toronto Blue Jays - Cincinnati Reds Predictions
Users Predictions:
Toronto Blue Jays will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%). Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% โ 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 5:3
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Lineups
Batters
4. Springer G.
38. Jorge C.
21. Bateman B.
44. De la Cruz E.
7. Okamoto K.
27. Stewart S.
26. McAdoo C.
22. Bleday JJ
36. Schneider D.
46. Brito J.
59. Valenzuela B.
43. Rodriguez H.
3. Straw M.
9. McLain M.
0. Gimenez A.
60. Banfield W.
22. Clement E.
16. Cabrera O.
Pitchers
31. Scherzer M.
55. Williamson B.
Coaches
. Schneider J.
. Francona T.
Preview
A mid-table side takes on an opponent fighting to pull away from the danger zone (ranked 9th and 12th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 3.
Toronto is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Cincinnati has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Cincinnati may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Cincinnati has had a run of games away from home.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Toronto holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Toronto has recorded 12 wins, 0 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 117:82 (averaging 5.9:4.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Toronto against this opponent, the record stands at 8 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with 71:48 goals (averaging 5.5:3.7 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Toronto Blue Jays - the odds 1.57 are the expected chance of winning is 61.25%, but this team recently wins 79% of matches with these odds.
Cincinnati Reds - the odds 2.49 are the expected chance of winning is 38.75%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.
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Springer G. 
Jorge C. 
Okamoto K. 
Valenzuela B. 
Gimenez A. 
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