Match Info

FRANCE: LNB - Round 34

Date: 11 May 2024, Saturday

Location: Jeu de Paume (Blois)


	ADA Blois		AS Monaco Basket

	1	2
	2.2	1.71	Watch
	2	1.75
	2.15	1.7
	2.13	1.72
	2.21	1.68
	2.06	1.8
	2.11	1.74
	2.16	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↓ (2.54)	1.73 ↑ (1.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 164.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ADA Blois
44.8%

AS Monaco Basket
55.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.9%

64.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1%

62.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ADA Blois has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in ADA Blois's performance.

AS Monaco Basket has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and AS Monaco Basket might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ADA Blois than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with ADA Blois that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AS Monaco Basket than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that AS Monaco Basket could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

ADA Blois - AS Monaco Basket Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 81:84

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
10. Barbitch M.	12. Cornelie P.
15. Brown R. (C)	11. Diallo A.
11. Kanter K.	3. Loyd J.
22. Kelly R.	20. Motiejunas D.
35. Traore A.	32. Strazel M.
Substitutes
1. Bronner-Szulc P.	6. Amini M.
29. Carberry T.	4. Blossomgame J.
13. Dessert B.	14. Jaiteh M.
25. Diomande D.	16. Noudogbessi L.
43. Sconard M.	0. Okobo E.
	24. Ouattara Y. (C)
Coaches
. Morabito D.	. Obradovic S.

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Pro B and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LNB (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Blois is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Monaco is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Monaco could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Our prediction for today's Blois to win the game is with odds 2.13.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Blois won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 253-263.

Including matches at home between the teams Blois won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 102-76.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ADA Blois
French LNB
04.05.24	Strasbourg - ADA Blois	80:88 ✺
30.04.24	Nanterre - ADA Blois	103:106 ✺
23.04.24	ADA Blois - Élan Sportif Chalonnais	80:78 ✺
20.04.24	Cholet Basket - ADA Blois	71:80 ✺
14.04.24	ADA Blois - ASVEL Basket	72:98 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.1 WWWWL
- AS Monaco Basket
Euroleague
08.05.24	AS Monaco Basket - Fenerbahçe	79:80 OT ✺
French LNB
05.05.24	AS Monaco Basket - Cholet Basket	66:79 ✺
Euroleague
03.05.24	Fenerbahçe - AS Monaco Basket	62:65 ✺
01.05.24	Fenerbahçe - AS Monaco Basket	89:78 ✺
26.04.24	AS Monaco Basket - Fenerbahçe	93:88 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

French LNB
19.11.23	AS Monaco Basket - ADA Blois	99:81
16.05.23	ADA Blois - AS Monaco Basket	102:76
04.12.22	AS Monaco Basket - ADA Blois	88:70

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