Match Info

Euroleague - Round 30

Date: 5 March 2026, Thursday

Location: Ülker Sports Arena (Istanbul)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
Croatia	SportKlub 4
Europe	Go3 Baltic Euroleague
Finland	Ruutu+, Veikkaus TV
France	SKWeek App
Germany	Magenta Sport
Greece	Nova Sports 2
Israel	Sport 5
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 1, Arena Premium 2
Slovenia	SportKlub 4
Turkey	S Sport+
Ukraine	Setanta Sports
World	EuroLeague TV


	Fenerbahçe		AS Monaco Basket

	1	2
	1.38	2.77	Watch
	1.53	2.54
	1.42	2.85
	1.48	2.76
	1.48	2.66
	1.47	2.7
	1.48	2.77	Watch
	1.46	2.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 (1.46)	2.72 ↓ (2.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 172.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Fenerbahçe
65.1%

AS Monaco Basket
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.2%

34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.6%

34.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fenerbahçe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

AS Monaco Basket has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fenerbahçe than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AS Monaco Basket than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	3%	15.2%

Fenerbahçe - AS Monaco Basket Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +11.5, OT - Monaco (1.32) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 170.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Fenerbahçe will win (27 of 32 users predict this - 84.38%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.8% – 96.96%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Fenerbahçe will win (14 of 14 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. Fenerbahçe (votes: 14 - 93.3%). Monaco (votes: 1 - 6.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 89:84

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
2. Baldwin W.	11. Diallo A.
13. Biberovic T.	4. Blossomgame J.
92. Birch K.	10. Theis D.
50. Colson B.	0. Okobo E.
18. Jantunen M.	55. James M.
Substitutes
0. Bacot A.	23. Begarin J.
1. Birsen J.	13. Hayes K.
17. Bitim O.	26. Nedovic N.
11. Boston B.	32. Strazel M.
12. De Colo N.	22. Tarpey T.
8. Horton-Tucker T.
30. Silva C.
Coaches
. Jasikevicius S.	. Spanoulis V.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fenerbahçe won 3.

Fenerbahçe is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Monaco is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Monaco may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Monaco has had a series of home games.

Fenerbahçe is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Fenerbahçe won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 1261:1267. (average 84.1:84.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Fenerbahçe won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 500:496. (average 83.3:82.7).

Outrights of Euroleague for now

Fenerbahce: 10.67%

Standings

		Pl	W	L
4	Fenerbahce	4	3	1	328:302

Last Results with these Odds

Fenerbahçe - the odds 1.46 are the expected chance of winning is 65.24%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fenerbahçe Basketball
Euroleague
25.02.26	Fenerbahçe - Partizan Belgrade	81:78 ✺
Turkish Cup Basketball
22.02.26	Fenerbahçe - Beşiktaş	91:74 ✺
20.02.26	Fenerbahçe - Türk Telekom BK	86:78 ✺
17.02.26	Esenler Erokspor - Fenerbahçe	76:83 ✺
Turkish Basketball Super Ligi
15.02.26	Türk Telekom BK - Fenerbahçe	76:88 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWWWW
- AS Monaco Basket
Euroleague
26.02.26	AS Monaco Basket - Maccabi Tel Aviv	86:91 ✺
French Leaders Cup Basketball
22.02.26	AS Monaco Basket - Le Mans	103:79 ✺
21.02.26	AS Monaco Basket - Cholet Basket	115:83 ✺
20.02.26	AS Monaco Basket - Strasbourg	90:89 ✺
French Cup Basketball
17.02.26	ASVEL Basket - AS Monaco Basket	93:98 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Euroleague
12.12.25	AS Monaco Basket - Fenerbahçe	86:92
25.05.25	AS Monaco Basket - Fenerbahçe	70:81
20.03.25	AS Monaco Basket - Fenerbahçe	91:82
12.12.24	Fenerbahçe - AS Monaco Basket	69:99
08.05.24	AS Monaco Basket - Fenerbahçe	79:80 OT
03.05.24	Fenerbahçe - AS Monaco Basket	62:65
01.05.24	Fenerbahçe - AS Monaco Basket	89:78

Upcoming Matches