Match Info

Champions League - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 15 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: SUNEL Arena (Athens)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Nova Sport 1, Oneplay
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 4
Portugal	Sport TV4
Slovakia	Nova Sport 1, Voyo


	AEK Athens		Joventut Badalona

	1	2
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.33	1.55	Watch
	2.48	1.63
	2.52	1.47	Watch
	2.3	1.53
	2.34	1.6	Watch
	1.81	1.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↑ (1.83)	1.59 ↓ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 160.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AEK Athens
40.7%

Joventut Badalona
59.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.4%

48.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.1%

46.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AEK Athens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that AEK Athens's form might have worsened.

Joventut Badalona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Joventut Badalona's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AEK Athens than the current prediction. (+12.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for AEK Athens, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joventut Badalona than the current prediction. (-12.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Joventut Badalona, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85%	0%	15%

AEK Athens - Joventut Badalona Predictions

Users Predictions: AEK Athens will win (17 of 20 users predict this - 85%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.35% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 78:82

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Bartley F.	21. Allen M.
33. Charalampopoulos V.	24. Hunt C.
8. Feazell K.	1. Kraag Y.
7. Flionis D. (C)	11. Parker J.
0. Gray R.	9. Rubio R.
Substitutes
11. Arsenopoulos N.	0. Drell H.
2. Brown III G.	12. Hakanson L.
4. Katsivelis D.	88. Hanga A.
9. Lekavicius L.	22. Humberto R.
21. Nunnally J.	32. Mauri F.
15. Pecarski M.	34. Niebla D.
1. Skordilis G.	23. Ruzic M.
Coaches
. Sakota D.	. Miret D.

Preview

Series tied 1-1. Third leg.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Joventut may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, AEK won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 153:172. (average 76.5:86).

Including home match between the teams, AEK won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 87:84.

Outrights of Champions League Basketball for now

Joventut Badalona: 12.62% AEK Athens: 5.95%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AEK Athens BC
Champions League Basketball
07.04.26	Joventut Badalona - AEK Athens	88:66 ✺
Greek Basket League A1
04.04.26	Aris - AEK Athens	82:78 ✺
Champions League Basketball
01.04.26	AEK Athens - Joventut Badalona	87:84 ✺
Greek Basket League A1
28.03.26	AEK Athens - Peristeri BC	64:74 ✺
22.03.26	AEK Athens - Iraklis	100:87 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLWLW
- Joventut Badalona
Spanish ACB League
12.04.26	Basquet Manresa - Joventut Badalona	87:77 ✺
Champions League Basketball
07.04.26	Joventut Badalona - AEK Athens	88:66 ✺
Spanish ACB League
04.04.26	Joventut Badalona - UCAM Murcia	67:89 ✺
Champions League Basketball
01.04.26	AEK Athens - Joventut Badalona	87:84 ✺
Spanish ACB League
29.03.26	Joventut Badalona - Gran Canaria 2014	92:84 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Champions League Basketball
07.04.26	Joventut Badalona - AEK Athens	88:66
01.04.26	AEK Athens - Joventut Badalona	87:84

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