Match Info

Champions League - Play Offs - Final

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Palau Municipal d'Esports de Badalona (Badalona)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Nova Sport 1, Oneplay
Portugal	Sport TV7
Slovakia	Nova Sport 1


	AEK Athens		Rytas

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.55	2.3
	1.58	2.25	Watch
	1.61	2.46
	1.57	2.22	Watch
	1.53	2.3
	1.58	2.38	Watch
	1.57	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↑ (1.56)	2.29 ↑ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 161.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AEK Athens
59.3%

Rytas
40.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.5%

41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.2%

38.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AEK Athens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Rytas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AEK Athens than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rytas than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

AEK Athens - Rytas Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 162.5, OT - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Rytas will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Rytas will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 83:79

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Charalampopoulos V.	43. Sargiunas I.
0. Gray R.	9. Bruhnke K.
8. Feazell K.	8. Gudaitis A. (C)
24. Bartley F.	77. Paliukenas M.
7. Flionis D. (C)	44. Speedy Smith
Substitutes
11. Arsenopoulos N.	24. Caroline J.
2. Brown III G.	14. Echodas M.
4. Katsivelis D.	10. Harding J.
19. Kuzminskas M.	41. Lukosius S.
9. Lekavicius L.	3. Marciulionis A.
21. Nunnally J.	21. Masiulis G.
1. Skordilis G.
Coaches
. Sakota D.	. Zibenas G.

Preview

AEK has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Rytas is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Rytas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

AEK might have a minor edge in this game.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Outrights of Champions League Basketball for now

AEK Athens: 5.95%

Last Results with these Odds

AEK Athens - the odds 1.56 are the expected chance of winning is 58.46%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AEK Athens BC
Champions League Basketball
07.05.26	Unicaja Malaga - AEK Athens	65:78 ✺
Greek Basket League A1
25.04.26	AEK Athens - Olympiacos Piraeus	84:94 ✺
19.04.26	Panionios - AEK Athens	57:71 ✺
Champions League Basketball
15.04.26	AEK Athens - Joventut Badalona	72:67 ✺
07.04.26	Joventut Badalona - AEK Athens	88:66 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WLWWL
- BC Rytas
Champions League Basketball
07.05.26	Rytas - Canarias	87:69 ✺
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
03.05.26	Lietkabelis - Rytas	96:71 ✺
29.04.26	Neptūnas - Rytas	91:98 ✺
27.04.26	Rytas - Šiauliai	102:72 ✺
25.04.26	Rytas - Juventus Utena	102:80 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WLWWW

AEK Athens - Rytas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide