Match Info

LNBP

Date: 5 August 2025, Tuesday

Location: Domo de la Feria (León)


	Abejas de León		Dorados de Chihuahua

	1	2
			Watch
	2.38	1.49
	2.54	1.46
	3.91	1.19	Watch
	2.56	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.85 ↓ (2.86)	1.4 ↑ (1.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 164.75

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Abejas de León
33%

Dorados de Chihuahua
67%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.6%

68.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.2%

70.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Abejas de León has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Dorados de Chihuahua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Abejas de León than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dorados de Chihuahua than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Abejas de León - Dorados de Chihuahua Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 80:85

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Castro A.	22. Clarance E.
7. Contreras J. (C)	2. Estrada J.
44. Quinn D.	12. Johnson T.
24. Soto D.	3. Mitchell C.
55. Tomsick N.	13. Perkins J.
Substitutes
9. Boumann V.	7. Banks A.
15. Greenaway Q.	0. Doucoure S.
11. Kosakowski J.	41. Hasbrouck K.
45. Morales A.	24. Myers M.
30. Nuno E.	25. Perez J.
1. Soto J.	10. Ramos H.
14. Torres J.	11. Valdez-Bustamante R.

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ LNBP (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Abejas won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Abejas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Dorados is considered a favorite.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Abejas won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 1340:1279. (average 83.8:79.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Abejas won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 790:741. (average 87.8:82.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Abejas de León
Mexican LNBP
04.08.25	Abejas de León - Dorados de Chihuahua	69:78 ✺
29.07.25	Irapuato Freseros - Abejas de León	61:78 ✺
28.07.25	Irapuato Freseros - Abejas de León	78:79 ✺
22.07.25	Abejas de León - El Calor de Cancun	87:95 ✺
21.07.25	Abejas de León - El Calor de Cancun	66:84 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LWWLL
- Dorados de Chihuahua Basketball
Mexican LNBP
04.08.25	Abejas de León - Dorados de Chihuahua	69:78 ✺
29.07.25	Dorados de Chihuahua - Mineros de Zacatecas	95:82 ✺
28.07.25	Dorados de Chihuahua - Mineros de Zacatecas	79:88 ✺
24.07.25	Fuerza Regia - Dorados de Chihuahua	86:87 ✺
23.07.25	Fuerza Regia - Dorados de Chihuahua	76:68 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican LNBP
04.08.25	Abejas de León - Dorados de Chihuahua	69:78
16.08.24	Abejas de León - Dorados de Chihuahua	80:84
15.08.24	Abejas de León - Dorados de Chihuahua	86:88
09.10.23	Dorados de Chihuahua - Abejas de León	90:76
08.10.23	Dorados de Chihuahua - Abejas de León	78:82
14.10.22	Abejas de León - Dorados de Chihuahua	99:81
13.10.22	Abejas de León - Dorados de Chihuahua	101:92

Upcoming Matches