The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Irapuato Freseros 48%
Abejas de León 52%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
52.6%
47.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.7%
46.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Irapuato Freseros has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
Abejas de León has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Irapuato Freseros than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Irapuato Freseros, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Abejas de León than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Abejas de León, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
83.3%
0%
16.7%
Irapuato Freseros - Abejas de León Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -1.5, OT - Irapuato (2.14) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Irapuato Freseros will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%). Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Irapuato Freseros will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Irapuato (votes: 6 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 83:85
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
51. Brodie D.
12. Castro A.
15. Butler H.
7. Contreras J. (C)
13. Gutierrez C.
15. Greenaway Q.
3. Lukic M.
24. Soto D.
4. Moorman J. P. (C)
55. Tomsick N.
Substitutes
10. Garcia L.
9. Boumann V.
35. Gordon A.
11. Kosakowski J.
22. Harris J.
45. Morales A.
23. Jimenez J.
30. Nuno E.
24. Miller M.
44. Quinn D.
19. Tapia K.
1. Soto J.
14. Villanueva P.
14. Torres J.
Preview
A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ LNBP (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 14).
Recent performances by Irapuato have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Abejas's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Irapuato may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Irapuato won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 433:451. (average 86.6:90.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Irapuato won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 279:265. (average 93:88.3).
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Brodie D. 
Castro A. 
Gutierrez C. 
Lukic M. 
Kosakowski J. 
Torres J. 
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