The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Abejas de León 42.4%
Diablos Rojos del Mexico 57.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
52.2%
47.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.6%
51.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Abejas de León has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Abejas de León's form might have worsened.
Diablos Rojos del Mexico has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Diablos Rojos del Mexico's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Abejas de León than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Abejas de León, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Diablos Rojos del Mexico than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Diablos Rojos del Mexico, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Abejas de León - Diablos Rojos del Mexico Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 86:89
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
11. Banks A.
0. Barbosa Y.
21. Castro A.
24. Carrera M.
0. Gaines D.
66. Cosey G.
7. Payton C.
6. Scala S.
9. Santiago G. (C)
23. Scott D.
Substitutes
45. Dominguez D.
11. Andriassi L.
30. French J.
7. Cruz J.
22. Leal-Cruz P.
12. Dominguez R.
2. Nuno T.
26. Garcia J.
5. Olea R.
21. Mendoza P.
67. Pinedo H.
4. Moss J.
35. Winston J.
5. Peters R.
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ LNBP (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 11 in the zone Promotion ~ LNBP (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
Abejas has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Diablos Rojos has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Diablos Rojos is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
We predict that Abejas will win today's game, with odds of 2.37.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Abejas won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 394:474. (average 78.8:94.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Abejas won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 246:263. (average 82:87.7).
Last Results with these Odds
Abejas de León - the odds 1.73 are the expected chance of winning is 52.21%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.
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Banks A. 
Barbosa Y. 
Carrera M. 
Gaines D. 
Scala S. 
Santiago G. (C) 
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