Match Info

FIBA Europe Cup - Round 1

Date: 16 October 2025, Thursday

Location: Baku Sports Palace (Baku)

Referee: Manojlovic L. (Srb)


	Absheron Lions		Tallinna Kalev

	1	2
			Watch
	1.92	1.78	Watch
	2	1.82
	2.27	1.58	Watch
	1.95	1.79
	2.4	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↓ (2.4)	1.7 ↑ (1.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 160.75

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Absheron Lions
44.6%

Tallinna Kalev
55.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.9%

61.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Absheron Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Absheron Lions's performance.

Tallinna Kalev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tallinna Kalev might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.9%	0%	7.1%

Absheron Lions - Tallinna Kalev Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Absheron will win (votes: 13 - 92.9%). Kalev will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Absheron: 79.4% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Absheron Lions will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 79:81

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Chidom A.	5. Acuff T.
0. Frazier J.	13. Hermet K.
1. McAlpine A. (C)	9. Kaukiainen S.
17. Orelik G.	8. Kurbas T.
7. Shaw J.	15. Miska A.
Substitutes
2. Abdullayev I.	7. Kasemets K.
21. Aliyev R.	11. Kuuba G.
25. Allen-Eikens D.	0. Makke E.
77. Donat S.	1. Rosenthal M.
11. Ibrahimov A.	21. Tongue C.
5. Jackson D.	10. Toom H.
8. Mammadli N.
Coaches
. Toker E.	. Reinbok I.

Preview

Kalev has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Absheron may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Kalev has had a series of home games.

Kalev is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Absheron Lions
FIBA Europe Cup
01.10.25	Anorthosis - Absheron Lions	77:60 ✺
24.09.25	Absheron Lions - Anorthosis	89:73 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LW
- BC Tallinna Kalev
Estonian–Latvian Basketball League
11.10.25	Tallinna Kalev - Rīgas Zeļļi	72:100 ✺
08.10.25	Tallinna Kalev - Latvijas Universitāte	95:58 ✺
05.10.25	Viimsi - Tallinna Kalev	82:100 ✺
01.10.25	Tallinna Kalev - Tartu Rock	68:80 ✺
Champions League Basketball
23.09.25	Tallinna Kalev - Astrum Levice	69:81 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LWWLL

Upcoming Matches