Match Info

Korvpalli Meistriliiga - Play Offs - Final

Date: 26 May 2026, Tuesday

Location: Unibet Arena (Tallinn)


	Tallinna Kalev		Tartu Rock

	1	2
			Watch
	1.44	2.42
	1.46	2.41
	1.5	2.38	Watch
	1.5	2.4
	1.51	2.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↑ (1.43)	2.4 ↓ (2.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 158.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tallinna Kalev
61.8%

Tartu Rock
38.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63%

37%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.7%

36.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tallinna Kalev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Tartu Rock has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tallinna Kalev than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tartu Rock than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Tallinna Kalev - Tartu Rock Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Kalev will win (votes: 1 - 50%). Tartu Rock will win (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 83:75

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
3. Jelks S.	16. Andre R.
9. Kaukiainen S.	9. Lips K.
15. Miska A.	0. McBride B.
1. Rosenthal M.	40. Paasoja M. (C)
10. Toom H.	3. Painter D.
Substitutes
5. Acuff T.	8. Bernard M.
6. Alles M.	35. Ilver M.
22. Dorbek M. (C)	5. Laane R.
7. Kasemets K.	20. Nurger R.
00. Kurucs I.	18. Rando R.
0. Makke E.	4. Saar H.
	2. Valge R.
Coaches
. Mirolybov A.	. Kuusmaa A.

Preview

Tartu Ulikool leads series 2-1. Fourth leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kalev won 2.

Recent performances by Kalev have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Tartu Rock is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Kalev could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kalev won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 1619:1559. (average 81:78).

Including home matches between the teams, Kalev won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 799:770. (average 79.9:77).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BC Tallinna Kalev
Estonian Korvpalli Meistriliiga
23.05.26	Tartu Rock - Tallinna Kalev	77:83 ✺
20.05.26	Tallinna Kalev - Tartu Rock	81:82 ✺
16.05.26	Tartu Rock - Tallinna Kalev	83:78 ✺
08.05.26	TalTech - Tallinna Kalev	82:95 ✺
05.05.26	Tallinna Kalev - TalTech	77:78 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLLWL
- Tartu Rock
Estonian Korvpalli Meistriliiga
23.05.26	Tartu Rock - Tallinna Kalev	77:83 ✺
20.05.26	Tallinna Kalev - Tartu Rock	81:82 ✺
16.05.26	Tartu Rock - Tallinna Kalev	83:78 ✺
09.05.26	Tartu Rock - Pärnu	76:72 ✺
07.05.26	Pärnu - Tartu Rock	63:70 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Korvpalli Meistriliiga
23.05.26	Tartu Rock - Tallinna Kalev	77:83
20.05.26	Tallinna Kalev - Tartu Rock	81:82
16.05.26	Tartu Rock - Tallinna Kalev	83:78
Estonian–Latvian Basketball League
03.04.26	Tartu Rock - Tallinna Kalev	89:81
01.04.26	Tallinna Kalev - Tartu Rock	86:83
28.03.26	Tartu Rock - Tallinna Kalev	98:85
10.01.26	Tartu Rock - Tallinna Kalev	72:85

Tallinna Kalev - Tartu Rock: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide