Match Info

NCAA

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday


	Alabama State Hornets		Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions

	1	2
	1.54	2.4
	1.52	2.4
	1.57	2.42
	1.66	2.05	Watch
	1.53	2.45
	1.55	2.47
	1.55	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.71)	2.38 ↑ (1.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 151.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Alabama State Hornets
60.4%

Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions
39.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

46.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.9%

42.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alabama State Hornets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alabama State Hornets's performance.

Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alabama State Hornets than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Alabama State Hornets - Arkansas Pine Bluff Golden Lions Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 78:75

#ad

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alabama State won 3.

Recent form of Alabama State has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Arkansas-Pine Bluff is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

We predict that Arkansas-Pine Bluff will win today's game, with odds of 1.99.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Alabama State won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 1169:1162. (average 68.8:68.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Alabama State won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 515:515. (average 73.6:73.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alabama State Hornets basketball
NCAA College Basketball
09.02.26	Southern University Jaguars - Alabama State Hornets	69:68 ✺
07.02.26	Grambling State Tigers - Alabama State Hornets	57:47 ✺
02.02.26	Alabama State Hornets - Florida A&M Rattlers	79:66 ✺
31.01.26	Alabama State Hornets - Bethune-Cookman Wildcats	54:69 ✺
27.01.26	Texas Southern Tigers - Alabama State Hornets	96:64 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLWLL
- Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions basketball
NCAA College Basketball
09.02.26	Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions - Jackson State Tigers	84:63 ✺
07.02.26	Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions - Alcorn State Braves	84:77 ✺
04.02.26	Grambling State Tigers - Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions	64:67 ✺
31.01.26	Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils - Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions	70:78 ✺
24.01.26	Southern University Jaguars - Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions	74:75 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
05.01.26	Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions - Alabama State Hornets	90:79
15.02.25	Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions - Alabama State Hornets	63:75
06.01.25	Alabama State Hornets - Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions	93:91
17.02.24	Alabama State Hornets - Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions	74:80
08.01.24	Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions - Alabama State Hornets	72:83
11.02.23	Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions - Alabama State Hornets	71:74
04.01.23	Alabama State Hornets - Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions	80:66

Alabama State Hornets - Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide