Match Info

NB I. A - Round 23

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Alba Regia Sportcsarnok (Székesfehérvár)


	Alba Fehérvár		Falco Szombathely

	1	2
	2.35	1.5
	2.4	1.44
	2.47	1.44
	2.4	1.49	Watch
	2.7	1.44
	2.52	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↓ (2.59)	1.46 ↑ (1.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 176.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alba Fehérvár
37.1%

Falco Szombathely
62.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.3%

64.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.1%

52.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alba Fehérvár has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Falco Szombathely has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alba Fehérvár than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alba Fehérvár, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Falco Szombathely than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Falco Szombathely, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Alba Fehérvár - Falco Szombathely Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Alba Fehérvár will win (votes: 8 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Alba Fehérvár: 100% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 - Alba Fehérvár (2.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Alba Fehérvár will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Alba Fehérvár (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 85:91

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Jovanovic S.	13. Bognar K.
23. Omenaka G.	6. Keller A.
31. Philmore I.	17. Novakovic A.
3. Pongo M.	51. Peterson T.
28. Starovlah M.	12. Whelan P.
Substitutes
4. Bigelow I.	35. Filipovity M.
21. Filipovic S.	19. Herger S.
20. Nemeth A.	9. Perl Z.
96. Osztoics M.	2. Tanoh D.
11. Takacs M.	22. Toro A.
	10. Varadi B.
	25. Veraszto P.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alba Fehérvár won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Szombathely may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Szombathely could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Alba Fehérvár won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 1636:1846. (average 81.8:92.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Alba Fehérvár won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 729:734. (average 91.1:91.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
1	Szombathely	2	2	0	192:149	4
3	Alba Fehervar	2	2	0	194:159	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alba Fehérvár
Hungarian NB I Basketball
14.03.26	Zalakerámia ZTE - Alba Fehérvár	100:91 ✺
06.03.26	Alba Fehérvár - BC Körmend	94:96 ✺
14.02.26	Alba Fehérvár - Szolnoki Olaj	65:79 ✺
07.02.26	Honvéd - Alba Fehérvár	68:89 ✺
30.01.26	Alba Fehérvár - Naturtex-SZTE-Szedeák	119:66 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLLWW
- Falco Szombathely
FIBA Europe Cup
18.03.26	Bosna - Falco Szombathely	78:70 ✺
Hungarian NB I Basketball
14.03.26	Falco Szombathely - Honvéd	92:98 ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
11.03.26	Falco Szombathely - Bosna	81:66 ✺
Hungarian NB I Basketball
06.03.26	Naturtex-SZTE-Szedeák - Falco Szombathely	67:92 ✺
Hungarian Cup Basketball
21.02.26	Honvéd - Falco Szombathely	64:77 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Hungarian NB I Basketball
23.12.25	Falco Szombathely - Alba Fehérvár	93:73
28.04.25	Alba Fehérvár - Falco Szombathely	95:102
25.04.25	Falco Szombathely - Alba Fehérvár	110:74
22.04.25	Alba Fehérvár - Falco Szombathely	120:112 OT
19.04.25	Falco Szombathely - Alba Fehérvár	101:76
05.04.25	Falco Szombathely - Alba Fehérvár	103:83
14.12.24	Alba Fehérvár - Falco Szombathely	73:100

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