Match Info

Proliga - Winners stage - Round 12

Date: 19 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Complexo Desportivo de Sangalhos (Sangalhos)


	Alianca Sangalhos		Madeira

	1	2
	2.4	1.48
	2.4	1.47
	2.57	1.4
			Watch
	2.5	1.49	Watch
	2.4	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↑ (2.4)	1.46 ↑ (1.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 150.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alianca Sangalhos
37.3%

Madeira
62.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

62.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

60.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alianca Sangalhos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Madeira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianca Sangalhos than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Madeira than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Alianca Sangalhos - Madeira Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 73:78

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Agu O.	45. Butler Korte J.
8. Madureira G.	4. Ferreira B.
34. Manhanga D.	10. Moreira A.
4. Rosebush L.	33. Oliveira J.
11. Woods J.	1. Savarino M.
Substitutes
15. Alves S.	11. Dias T.
2. Banaru V.	00. Fernandes J. (C)
6. Lemos S.	28. Leite L.
0. Rodrigues D.	21. Pimenta L.
18. Santiago F.	3. Porter M.
5. Seabra L. (C)
21. Semedo H.
Coaches
. Gradeco F.	. Fernandes M.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sangalhos won 1.

Recent matches Sangalhos is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Madeira is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recently Madeira have a series of home games.

Madeira will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Sangalhos won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 498:563 (average 71.1:80.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Sangalhos won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 220:226 (average 73.3:75.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alianca Sangalhos
Portuguese Proliga Basketball
05.04.25	CB Queluz - Alianca Sangalhos	85:71 ✺
29.03.25	Alianca Sangalhos - Braga	69:82 ✺
22.03.25	Portimonense - Alianca Sangalhos	78:75 ✺
15.03.25	Alianca Sangalhos - Vasco Da Gama Porto	86:81 ✺
09.03.25	Alianca Sangalhos - Imortal B	76:61 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LLLWW
- CAB Madeira
Portuguese Proliga Basketball
05.04.25	Madeira - Vasco Da Gama Porto	98:85 ✺
29.03.25	CB Queluz - Madeira	78:70 ✺
22.03.25	Madeira - Imortal B	79:64 ✺
16.03.25	Madeira - Braga	77:73 ✺
08.03.25	Madeira - Illiabum	65:61 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Proliga Basketball
22.02.25	Madeira - Alianca Sangalhos	84:75
30.03.24	Alianca Sangalhos - Madeira	69:72
02.03.24	Madeira - Alianca Sangalhos	73:77
Portuguese LPB
15.04.23	Madeira - Alianca Sangalhos	99:60
18.03.23	Alianca Sangalhos - Madeira	69:73
22.12.22	Alianca Sangalhos - Madeira	82:81
05.10.22	Madeira - Alianca Sangalhos	81:66

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