Match Info

Proliga - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 10 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Pavilhao Clube Amigos do Basquete (Funchal)


	Madeira		Vasco Da Gama Porto

	1	2
	1.55	2.25
	1.56	2.22
	1.46	2.41
	1.57	2.14
	1.56	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 (1.54)	2.25 ↑ (2.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 161.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Madeira
59.3%

Vasco Da Gama Porto
40.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.5%

41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.1%

35.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Madeira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Vasco Da Gama Porto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Madeira than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vasco Da Gama Porto than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Madeira - Vasco Da Gama Porto Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 83:79

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
45. Butler Korte J.	13. Akoi Y.
4. Ferreira B.	9. Ambrosio F.
10. Moreira A.	11. Coutinho I. (C)
3. Porter M.	20. Ferreira F.
1. Savarino M.	32. Nwagbaraocha V.
Substitutes
11. Dias T.	10. Cardoso J.
00. Fernandes J. (C)	34. Domingues K.
6. Goncalves A.	25. Madureira S.
34. Jesus S.	44. Martins D.
28. Leite L.	22. Nobre R.
33. Oliveira J.	45. Santos D.
21. Pimenta L.	15. Sequeira G.
Coaches
. Fernandes M.	. Freitas N.

Preview

1st leg.

Madeira is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Vasco Da Gama has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Madeira might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Madeira will win today's game, with odds of 1.49.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Madeira won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 181:167. (average 90.5:83.5).

Including home match between the teams, Madeira won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 98:85.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CAB Madeira
Portuguese Proliga Basketball
03.05.25	Illiabum - Madeira	69:80 ✺
26.04.25	Madeira - Portimonense	94:88 ✺
19.04.25	Alianca Sangalhos - Madeira	63:81 ✺
05.04.25	Madeira - Vasco Da Gama Porto	98:85 ✺
29.03.25	CB Queluz - Madeira	78:70 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WWWWL
- Vasco Da Gama Porto
Portuguese Proliga Basketball
03.05.25	Vasco Da Gama Porto - CB Queluz	94:90 ✺
26.04.25	Braga - Vasco Da Gama Porto	80:78 ✺
19.04.25	Vasco Da Gama Porto - Portimonense	97:89 ✺
05.04.25	Madeira - Vasco Da Gama Porto	98:85 ✺
30.03.25	Imortal B - Vasco Da Gama Porto	83:80 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Proliga Basketball
05.04.25	Madeira - Vasco Da Gama Porto	98:85
15.02.25	Vasco Da Gama Porto - Madeira	82:83

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