Match Info

CROATIA: PREMIJER LIGA - RELEGATION GROUP - ROUND 7

Date: 22 April 2023, Saturday

Location: GSD Ivica Glavan-Ico (Sinj)


	Alkar		Gorica

	1	2
	1.35	2.85
	1.41	2.75
	1.36	2.94
	1.39	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.52)	2.82 ↑ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 162.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alkar
67.2%

Gorica
32.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.7%

40.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.7%

44.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alkar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alkar's performance.

Gorica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gorica might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alkar than the current prediction. (-11.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alkar that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gorica than the current prediction. (+11.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gorica could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Alkar - Gorica Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 84:78

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Alkar won 2.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Alkar is a favorite.

Last 19 head-to-head matches Alkar won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 14 matches and goals 1395-1532.

Including matches at home between the teams Alkar won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 623-597.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KK Alkar
Croatian Premijer Liga Basketball
15.04.23	Bosco - Alkar	84:78 ✺
12.04.23	Alkar - Škrljevo	89:74 ✺
01.04.23	Zabok - Alkar	63:88 ✺
29.03.23	Alkar - Dinamo Zagreb	75:85 ✺
25.03.23	Gorica - Alkar	92:81 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LWWLL
- KK Gorica
Croatian Premijer Liga Basketball
16.04.23	Gorica - Zabok	88:93 OT ✺
12.04.23	Gorica - Dinamo Zagreb	83:84 ✺
31.03.23	Škrljevo - Gorica	69:70 ✺
29.03.23	Bosco - Gorica	107:80 ✺
25.03.23	Gorica - Alkar	92:81 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Croatian Premijer Liga Basketball
25.03.23	Gorica - Alkar	92:81
07.01.23	Gorica - Alkar	93:101 OT (89:89)
08.10.22	Alkar - Gorica	77:75
08.12.21	Alkar - Gorica	71:76
25.09.21	Gorica - Alkar	90:73
02.05.21	Gorica - Alkar	91:81
09.01.21	Alkar - Gorica	73:74

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